Numerical simulation of Taybad plain aquifer using MODFLOW and prediction of management scenarios

The aim of the research is quantitative modeling of the underground water flow of the plain aquifer and the investigation of management solutions to deal with the drop in the underground water level. This research was investigated using hydrogeological information, hydrology, meteorology and basic studies of underground water sources. Quantitative underground water modeling was done using GMS software and Modflow code and the underground water level was simulated for the years 2011-2015 with 60 monthly time steps. Manual calibration of the model was done for 2011-2014 and its validation was done for 2014-2015. Future management solutions, in the form of combined scenarios:One- 10% reduction in withdrawal from wells with a 5% reduction in feeding from return of agricultural water. Two- 20% reduction in withdrawal from wells with a 10% reduction in feeding from return of agricultural water. Three- Their comparison with the continuation of the existing trend was predicted for the years 2015-2019. The result of the aquifer modeling for the above time periods showed the deficit of the reservoir 33.09 MCM. But by applying a 10% reduction in withdrawal and a 5% reduction in feeding, 21.38 MCM/year and by applying a 20% reduction in recharging from the return flows of agricultural consumption and 10% reduction in feeding, 25.94 MCM/year were added to the volume of the water balance. But with the continuation of the current trend, the deficit volume of the aquifer was estimated to be more than 54 MCM.