A Future Research of Security-Policing Consequences of Drought and Climate Changes (Sistan and Baluchistan and South Khorasan Provinces)

Message:
Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Background and aim
water crisis and drought caused by climate change are among the most important issues that, if failed in its management, will have wider negative consequences in the future; Therefore, the aim of the current research is to study the security-policing consequences of drought and climate changes in the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan and South Khorasan in the framework of the future cycle model.
Method
The research is applied in terms of purpose and quantitative and descriptive-analytical in terms of nature. In the first step, to check the status of climate change indicators, the required data was collected and analyzed. In the second step, the findings obtained from the statistical analysis of climate data were based on a semi-structured interview with 20 experts and then the findings of this section were analyzed in the framework of the future cycle model.
Results
The analysis of climate data shows a lack of atmospheric precipitation and an increase in the average temperature and annual temperature in the studied area. Also, according to the opinions of the participants, the most important security-policy consequences of drought and climate change in the studied area are: regional tension, spread of insecurity, loss of job opportunities, increase in poverty, political tensions, increase in social divide, occurrence of ethnic differences and dissatisfaction. social 
Conclusion
The result of the future cycle model shows that the security-policy consequences of drought and climate changes in the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan and South Khorasan, from the point of view of sustainable territorial security, require effective strategies to manage its negative effects at the level of the country's governance system.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Police Management Studies Quarterly, Volume:19 Issue: 2, 2024
Pages:
9 to 35
https://www.magiran.com/p2807202