Patterns and Determinants of Internal Migration in Iran

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

Today, due to the relative stability of fertility and mortality at low levels, the contribution of migration to population dynamics and regional changes has become more noticeable. Migration is a dynamic process arising from changing social contexts that can affect not only migrants but also the origin and destination regions. The increase in migrations and displacements, especially from the border areas of the country towards the center and their settlement around megacities, especially around Tehran the capital of Iran, is one of the main social and demographic issues and challenges in Iran. In this regard, this article examines the patterns and determinants of internal migration in the country by using the secondary analysis of individual and aggregated data from the 2011 and 2016 population censuses. The results showed that with the increase in urbanization, the net migration of the population from rural to urban areas decreased and inter-city migrations increased. Tehran is the most attractive province for migration from most provinces. The attractiveness of Tehran is especially higher for western provinces. However, the migration flow from Tehran province is towards Alborz province, and the two northern provinces of the country, Gilan and Mazandaran, where migration is more common among the elderly. In addition, Tehran and surrounding provinces are facing population gain (increase) due to migration, while western and south-eastern provinces, with low levels of development, experience population loss (decrease) due to migration. Considering regional inequalities, age structure (young/ middle-aged), increase in education level, high youth unemployment, and lack of job opportunities in most provinces and counties, it is expected that the trend of internal migration, especially inter-provincial migration, will increase.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Social Sciences, Volume:31 Issue: 1, 2025
Pages:
73 to 107
https://www.magiran.com/p2818752  
سامانه نویسندگان
  • Sadeghi، Rasoul
    Author
    Sadeghi, Rasoul
    Associate Professor Demography, Department of Demography, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Tehran, تهران, Iran
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