The Models of Election and the Predictions

The forthcoming US presidential election is one of the most hotly contested elections in American history and has reversed the key indicators for correctly predicting a winner. Currently، there seems some chance that the first female president could be nominated and، with her husband as a former president at her side، gender has become an important issue. Also، the fact that a black president is a real possibility in 2008، and oftentimes a difficult subject to talk about، reveals how discussing some of the historical aspects of how black people entered the U. S. is a source of tension as the election approaches. The debate about race politics encourages us to expand our ways of thinking and accept the potential for changes in the models of predicting elections.