نشریه آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی
سال دوم شماره 3 (پیاپی 6، پاییز 1400)

One of the most complex issues in the foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran since the victory of the revolution until now has been how to deal with and how to regulate the interaction between Iran and the United States in the regional environment and the international system. Increasing or decreasing the conflicts between the two countries has a logical and significant relationship with a set of interrelated factors, which means that in order to find a solution to reduce conflicts and contradictions, the basic variables must be coordinated within the two countries and in the international environment. In the present study, we seek to answer the question of what scenarios can be drawn for the future of Iran-US relations in the next five years between 2022 and 2027?The tool to answer this question is to use a scenario-based approach to assumption, which is one of the exploratory approaches in scenario writing and based on evidence, creativity and expertise, and by identifying possible assumption of relations between the two countries And the United States, through brainstorming, using the panel of experts and categorizing them, scenarios have been extracted, and the realization of any scenario will depend on the existence of hypotheses that need to occur.The research findings indicate that based on the existing variables and hypotheses, the preferred scenario ahead is increased competition and hostility and possible and probable scenarios, conditional and limited interaction, and reconciliation scenario.It can be concluded that the weight of warning signs is much higher than the shaping measures, load-bearing assumptions and actions that insure the Iran-US relationship, so managing tensions in bilateral relations should be a priority for policymakers in both countries.

The present article has been conducted with the aim of identifying the desirability of the Islamic Awakening from the perspective of the ideals of the Islamic Revolution and based on the purpose; it is a practical research. Statistical Society; It includes 32 experts related to the field of Islamic Awakening who have been identified by snowball method and have been purposefully selected. In order to collect the information needed to compile the research literature, library studies using filing tool" and in order to collect real data, "field studies" using "semi-structured interview" and "closed questionnaire" tools have been used. Interview questions and questionnaires have been validated by experts in terms of both apparent validity and content. Using SPSS software, the reliability coefficient (Cronbach's alpha) was calculated to be 0.826, which indicates the high reliability of the questionnaire. In order to analyze the quantitatively collected data from "descriptive statistics or parameters" and also in order to rank the importance of the questionnaire propositions, the "Shannon entropy method" has been used. in the end; Among the cited propositions, 15 components were selected as key benefits and the three components of "awareness and awakening of the Islamic Ummah", "return of the Islamic world to Islamic identity" and "clarification of the characteristics of pure Islam from American Islam" by experts as the most important benefits Islamic Awakening were elected.

With the establishment of the Islamic Republic and the approval of the Constitution in the early years of the glorious Islamic Revolution and then its revision in 1989, the semi-parliamentary semi- parliamentary system in the Islamic Republic of Iran began to functionو The Islamic Republic of Iran has started to work and now, after nearly three decades of its life, like all existing governmental structures in the world, it has revealed its strengths and weaknesses. Therefore, considering that the current semi-presidential semi-parliamentary system has sometimes faced problems and challenges, the issue of revising the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran has become a serious discussion among experts for several years;Some of them have considered the implementation of the existing laws and the correction of personal behaviors as a reason to get out of these problems, and others consider it desirable to change the structure and move towards a parliamentary system or an absolute presidency. Therefore, in this article, we intend to address the implications of revising the constitution adopted in 1989.

One of the important issues in new Islamic civilization is the desired organization and its characteristics. There are many rational and narrative reasons for the importance of organization and formations, for example, we can refer to a part of the Supreme Leader's speeches in this regard: "Formations is one of the duties of any group of people who pursue a goal. Formations means order, it means division of tasks, it means communication and chain of work; This is the meaning of Formations. This is not just a bad thing, but a good thing and a necessary thing. Nothing in the world goes without Formations. "The Islamic Revolution of Iran did not proceed without Formations and did not win." The method used in this research is literature review and also the use of qualitative methods of discourse analysis and document analysis. In order to reach the new Islamic civilization and in the new Islamic civilization, Islamic teachings are the basis of all fields and having a correct picture of different fields will be a necessary thing in order to follow this path correctly. Reference to the verses and manners of the Ahl al-Bayt as a mineral rich and rich in knowledge in drawing these images is necessary and obligatory. By referring to various scientific sources and statements of the Supreme Leader in the field of desirable organization, an attempt has been made to give an image of this field in the new Islamic civilization in five proposed dimensions, purpose and perspective, organizational structure and human resources, management and leadership, provide space, environment and organizational culture.

In today's turbulent world, what has become the focus of attention in the future is the use of the opportunities that lie within it, in order to be resilient and to avoid surprises. This has led many individuals and organizations to always seek to discover the future and take preemptive action to reap its benefits. One of the most important contexts of this view in Iran is the presidential election, which in 2021 became the focus of various currents to reduce or increase public participation. In this article, first, the environment surrounding the participation in the elections of 2021 categories and the drivers of each category have been analyzed. A meta-analysis of elite views based on a review of trends in society and the social space shows that key uncertainties covering other uncertainties are the two factors of "hope and livelihood". This means that each of the drivers can have a positive or negative effect on social hope, as well as on improving or worsening the living conditions of society. Thus, these two play a role as a framework of scenarios. Finally, four scenarios of enthusiastic participation, participation of people to change the situation, negative participation and not to the ballot (minimum participation) have been determined and examined as scenarios of participation in elections.

Revolutionary school and system are two terms used in the Supreme Leader's discourse to describe the revolutionary line. He spoke of the Soleimani school as a model for the revolutionary action of Martyr Soleimani. Using the method of interrogation, this article has analyzed the position of the individual and structure in the social system and, using Islamic teachings, has considered the systematization of Islam as a recognition of moral activism based on structures. A model that contains a novel combination of agency (activism) and structure. Such activism in social structures, in proportion to the existence of the individual and the organization, produces a current and a wave that covers the area of history and continues after the life of this active world. Then, with evidence such as presenting the results of the survey, he explained the creation that the future of civilization and the resistance front will be more beneficial than before the existential works of Martyr Soleimani and his school