نشریه آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی
سال چهارم شماره 4 (پیاپی 15، زمستان 1402)

Utopia includes general writings about a number of different ideas or dreams to describe or consider the creation of a better society than the current situation. This utopia represents a kind of desirable philosophical attitude towards the future of humanity along with criticism of the existing situation, The main problem of the research is what components of the philosophical utopia are oriented towards the future? And in what way and in the form of what components is the writing of Utopia oriented towards the future? In the process of answering such questions, the nature of utopia and the background of writing utopias are first explained. Then, components such as perfectionism, seeking justice and philosophical ideas are reported in a way that is aimed at the future of humanity and provides a clear perspective. The most important finding and result of the research is that writing a philosophical utopia can be a way to draw a bright future for humanity. In fact, each of the components is a transition from an unpleasant past to a favorable future

The present study has identified the strategies for building a decent society in the Islamic Republic of Iran using the SWOT matrix structure and the fuzzy riding technique. This research was done according to the practical purpose and from a mixed approach based on the descriptive-analytical method. The statistical population of the research included the number of 12 experts related to the subject of the research. After carrying out library studies, items related to the fourfold structure of the SWAT matrix were identified and the importance and intensity of its impact in an uncertain environment were investigated by forming an expert panel. The preliminary results of the research showed that the benefit of talented and efficient human capital, the existence of rich mineral and energy resources, are important strengths, unbalanced development in different parts of the country, environmental problems and limited water resources are important weaknesses, the processes of accepting the values of the revolution in Collective notions and the reduction of global resource reserves, considering the huge amount of Iran's resources compared to other countries, are considered as important opportunities and the processes of intensifying the enemy's combined war, and the attempt to reduce the values of the Iranian society, as important threats in the path of creating a decent society. Also, the results showed that strengths prevail over weaknesses and threatening factors prevail over opportunity-creating factors and the influence of the internal environment is far higher than the external environment. Therefore, based on the analysis, offensive strategies (in 7 cases), competitive strategies (in 13 cases), conservative strategies (in 5 cases) and defensive strategies (in 11 cases) were formulated and presented

Identity is one of the most important challenges of the youth period, and different aspects of identity have an undeniable impact on all youth activities and affect it. Identity crisis is a situation in which, as a result of transformations and developments in the structural, cultural and communication fields, and at the same time not being recognized by the government and the world system, young people have problems and conflicts in recognizing their place in the surrounding environment, group and community. have became. The current research has investigated and written scenarios about the youth identity crisis in a 10-year horizon by using the causal layer analysis and using Mic Mac and Scenario Wizard software. In this way, by using the method of causal layer analysis and studying documents and in-depth interviews with experts, 227 key drivers of the identity crisis were identified. Then, these drivers were summarized based on the Pestel model and the layered approach, which reached 52 drivers. In the following, by using Micmac software, the influential and influential drivers are identified and finally, through Scenario Wizard, 4 scenarios are obtained for this purpose, two scenarios as pessimistic and two scenarios as optimistic.Drivers of the pessimistic scenario: extreme disillusionment of young people from being ignored by the government, increasing gender inequality, expanding social networks, intensifying alienation of young people from the desired identity of the political system, only paying attention to pro-government forces.Drivers of the optimistic scenario: recognition of all young people, reduction of gender inequality, expansion of social networks, increase in media literacy, reduction of alienation from the desired identity of the political system.

The existence of uncertainties, complexities, and ambiguity is one of the structural features of the tobacco industry for the country's planners in the current era. Traditional planning and strategy tools are no longer appropriate in such a situation. Therefore, the aim of the current research is environmental scanning of the factors affecting the strategic foresight of the tobacco industry in Iran. In fact, this research seeks to answer the question of which environmental factors can be effective in achieving the desired future of the Iranian tobacco industry. Environmental scanning is one of the methods of strategic foresight which is to identify, understand, evaluate, and prioritize responses to environmental issues and changes. The purpose of environmental scanning is to give a timely warning to the decision-makers so that they have enough time to react appropriately. The current research is pragmatic in terms of philosophical basis, exploratory in terms of purpose, and applied-development in terms of orientation. The theoretical community of the research is experts and senior managers of the tobacco industry and academic experts selected by judgmental sampling. To scan the environmental factors affecting the strategic foresight of the tobacco industry, in the first step, 66 environmental factors were counted through a systematic review of the research background using the Meta-synthesis method and interviews with industry experts, and then the most important ones were identified using the Delphi method. The 28 screened drivers of the future of Iran's tobacco industry were categorized into economic, individual, and psychological, smuggling, technological, political and legal, social, governance, environmental, health, and marketing groups.

Technology transfer means connecting the university to organizations, industries, government, society and other external service sectors, in order to present and supply the knowledge and technology produced in the university for use by users and to solve social problems, it is always one of the most discussed and challenging issues of universities and It has been communities. This issue has seen different periods. In this research, in order to facilitate the communication of Comprehensive university of Imam Hosein (as) with external users and specifically, the organization appropriate to this university, by using the action research method in the panel of experts, the general model of the university's communication ecosystem was extracted and the envisaged mechanisms were put to the challenge of experts' experience. As a result, 13 general mechanisms for technology transfer were extracted and a prospective proposal for university technology transfer mechanism based on three layers of human, process and institutional ecosystem was presented. In this proposal, the technology transfer mechanism based on peer-to-peer informal networking was the focus, and the rest of the other mechanisms are proposed as auxiliary mechanisms of this mechanism.

This research has been written with the aim of prioritizing the incentives proposed in the family and youth protection law in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach. This research has reached its conclusion in three steps. In the first step, the meta-analysis method was used to understand the current situation, in the second step, by document study, the existing documents regarding the subject were examined, and finally, in the third step, by using It has identified key and important incentives from the Delphi technique. In this research, after reviewing the upstream documents and identifying their emphasis on the issue of population youth, the incentives proposed in the law were counted and using the opinions of experts, key incentives were selected through five Delphi steps. In the continuation of the work, after identifying the four crises, incentives were proposed to the policy maker apart from the incentives proposed in the law. In this research, an attempt was made to institutionalize the proposition that the time has come to end the method of cross-sectional action and trial and error in this field, and considering the existing limitations, effective factors should be extracted in order to design a comprehensive framework for policy making. By means of it, you can survive this important crossing.