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سیاست - سال پنجاه و دوم شماره 3 (پیاپی 63، پاییز 1401)

فصلنامه سیاست
سال پنجاه و دوم شماره 3 (پیاپی 63، پاییز 1401)

  • تاریخ انتشار: 1401/09/01
  • تعداد عناوین: 8
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  • مهدی امیدی*، سید محمدهادی مقدسی صفحات 609-629
    برخی از صاحب نظران سیاست، بر این باورند که جمهوری اسلامی در زمره رژیم های اقتدارگرا قرار دارد. برجسته ترین دانشگاه ها و مراکز پژوهشی در جهان اقدام به انتشار آثار پژوهشی کرده اند که اقتدارگرایی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران را بررسی می کنند. خوان خوزه لینز بر اساس روش مطالعه میدانی به مقایسه رژیم های سیاسی توتالیتر و اقتدارگرا سده بیستمی پرداخته و نظریه ای منسجم از اقتدارگرایی ارایه کرده است. از آنجا که وی در پژوهش خود با داوری کمابیش منصفانه به مطالعه موردی جمهوری اسلامی ایران نیز توجه کرده است، از نظریه لینز برای بررسی و ارزیابی اقتدارگرا بودن ایران در این نوشتار استفاده می شود. اهداف دوگانه این پژوهش عبارت اند از: نخست، بازبینی جایگاه جمهوری اسلامی در طبقه بندی نوع رژیم های سیاسی معاصر؛ و سپس ارایه پاسخی علمی و منصفانه به افرادی که جمهوری اسلامی را اقتدارگرا می دانند، درحالی که در واقع پژوهش های اندکی روابط بین جمهوری اسلامی و اقتدارگرایی را از دیدگاهی انتقادی بررسی کرده اند. پرسش اصلی پژوهش این است که چه رابطه ای بین مولفه های اقتدارگرایی لینز و ساختار نظام سیاسی جمهوری اسلامی ایران برقرار است. با رویکردی تحلیلی-تبیینی و بهره گیری از روش تحلیل محتوای مفهومی، دیدگاه های مهم ترین اندیشمندان انقلاب اسلامی و همچنین قانون اساسی کشور بررسی می شود تا بتوان به آزمون این فرضیه پرداخت که بیان می کند شاخص های تمرکز قدرت، مشارکت سیاسی محدود و نگرش تعیین کننده میزان اقتدارگرایی در نظام های سیاسی معاصرند. این پژوهش نشان دهنده ضعف نظریه لینز در شناسایی و ارزیابی ویژگی های ساختار سیاسی جمهوری اسلامی ایران است، زیرا مولفه های اقتدارگرایی لینز با مورد جمهوری اسلامی سازگاری ندارد، در واقع باید آن را در دسته حکومت های مختلط قرار داد.
    کلیدواژگان: اقتدارگرایی، تمرکز قدرت، جمهوری اسلامی ایران، خوان خوزه لینز، مشارکت سیاسی محدود
  • علی باقری دولت ابادی*، محمد مجاهدزاده صفحات 631-663

    از نظر افراد غیردانشگاهی، سیاست خارجی یکی از جنبه های بدیهی دنیای سیاست است؛ و حتی بیشتر افراد احساس می کنند شناخت لازم و کافی از این حوزه برای اظهارنظر و نقد درباره آن را دارند. رویکرد حاکم در جلسات نقد سیاست خارجی سطحی و اغلب غیرعلمی است؛ در حالی که انتظار می رود این مباحث در پژوهش ها و محافل دانشگاهی بیشتر مطرح شوند. دو پرسش پژوهشی مطرح شده عبارت اند از: 1. سنت نقد و ارزیابی چه جایگاهی در پژوهش های دانشگاهی انجام شده درباره سیاست خارجی ایران داشته است؟ 2. دلایل ضعف یا قوت این پژوهش ها کدام اند؟ در فرضیه پژوهش استدلال می شود که علل اصلی ضعف در نگارش آثار انتقادی درباره سیاست خارجی را باید در دو حوزه آموزش و فرهنگ سیاسی جست وجو کرد. برای یافتن پاسخ و آزمون فرضیه از روش پیمایشی استفاده شده است؛ در گام نخست از جامعه آماری به صورت هدفمند و تمام شمار نمونه برداری شده، و در گام های بعدی داده های گردآوری شده تحلیل و تبیین شده، و یافته های پژوهش در نمودارهایی ارایه شده است. جامعه آماری دربرگیرنده مقاله های فصلنامه سیاست خارجی به عنوان تخصصی ترین فصلنامه در این حوزه در بازه زمانی 1400-1395  بود. یافته های پژوهش نشان داد به جز یک مورد سایر مقاله های منتشرشده در این فصلنامه رویکرد انتقادی ندارند، و در استفاده از رویکرد نظری، سناریونویسی و پیش بینی آینده، بعد تجویزی و کاربردی از ضعف های جدی برخوردارند. سپس با رویکردی تحلیلی-تبیینی و با هدف آسیب شناسی، هفت علت اصلی این کاستی ها شناسایی شد: 1. بی توجهی به تفکر انتقادی در نظام آموزشی، 2. فراهم نبودن شرایط محیطی برای انتقاد، 3. گسترش ندادن فرهنگ نقد و نقدپذیری، 4. نداشتن علاقه و انگیزه، 5. سختگیری در چاپ و پذیرش پژوهش های انتقادی، 6. تحمل نکردن مخالفت و انتقاد، 7. بی نیازی مدیران وزارت امور خارجه به پژوهش های انتقادی.

    کلیدواژگان: سیاست خارجی ایران، فرهنگ سیاسی، فصلنامه سیاست خارجی، نظام آموزشی، نقد
  • روژان حسام قاضی*، محمد نژادایران صفحات 665-690
    داریوش شایگان، از روشنفکران برجسته ایرانی و آشنا با میراث سنتی و فرهنگ جامعه ایرانی است و شناخت کمابیش کاملی نیز از مدرنیته و مبانی فلسفی آن دارد؛ ولی آنچه اندیشه های وی را ارزشمند کرده، دگرگونی هایی است که در نگرش او نسبت به  مدرنیته روی داده است. شایگان در دوره نخست ارایه اندیشه های خود به شدت مدرنیته ستیز بود و آن را پدیده ای اروپامحور تلقی می کرد که در مرحله نیست انگاری و پوچی قرار گرفته است. وی نگران سیطره مدرنیته بر فرهنگ و معنویت شرقی بود، ولی پس از گذشت چند سال آن را به عنوان فراروایتی برتر به رسمیت شناخت و بر این باور بود که چیرگی مدرنیته بر سایر فرهنگ ها و تمدن ها اجتناب ناپذیر است. در این پژوهش تلاش می شود تا به پرسش مهمی در اندیشه داریوش شایگان درباره تاثیر تغییر رویکرد نیچه ای- هایدگری شایگان به رویکرد کانتی در رویارویی با مدرنیته پاسخ داده شود. در فرضیه اصلی بیان می شود که تغییر بنیادین رویکرد شایگان به مدرنیته ریشه در تحولات در مبانی فکری وی دارد که در آن مدرنیته به صورت یک فراروایت جهانی پذیرفته می شود. با رویکردی تحلیلی-توصیفی، از روش تحلیل مفهومی مهم ترین نوشته های شایگان برای بررسی تاثیر تحولات سیاسی و اجتماعی بر دگرگونی نگرش این اندیشمند به مدرنیته استفاده شد. دلیل انتخاب موضوع اهمیت و تاثیر آثار شایگان در دوره های مختلف فکری وی در میان روشنفکران ایرانی است. شایگان به این باور رسید که نوشکوفایی میراث سنتی شرق در عصر مدرن، نه تنها آن را جایگزین مدرنیته نمی کند، بلکه به چیرگی دوچندان مدرنیته بر سنت های شرقی منجر خواهد شد.
    کلیدواژگان: جهانی شدن، داریوش شایگان، رویکرد کانتی، رویکرد هایدگری، مدرنیته
  • غلامرضا رکنی لموکی*، عباس زمانیان صفحات 691-715
    نفت عنصر ثابت پژوهش های سیاسی ایران معاصر است، و نقش آن در حوزه های  اقتصادی، اجتماعی و سیاسی ایران به انحای مختلفی بررسی شده است. با این حال، نفت عاملی موثر بر امنیت ملی و ثبات منطقه ای به ویژه در خلیج فارس است که کشورهای آن بخش چشمگیری از نفت مورد نیاز جهان را تامین می کنند. تجارت و امنیت یار قدیم اند و با توجه به حساسیت و آسیب پذیری عمومی جهان در قبال نفت، تجارت این کالا حتی بیش از سایر کالاها مستلزم امنیت است. با این حال، خلیج فارس و پیرامون آن مدت ها دستخوش جنگ های  متعددی بوده است؛ و این تناقض مستلزم توضیح است. ویژگی برجسته تجارت نفت نوسان است؛ نوسان عرضه، نوسان تقاضا، نوسان قیمت، و نوسان سهم کشورها و مناطق نفت خیز از تجارت جهانی نفت. در این پژوهش، با هدف ارایه توضیحی در مورد تناقض جنگ و تجارت،  رابطه جنگ و خشونت با نوسان های ذاتی بازار نفت بررسی می شود. پرسش پژوهشی اصلی این است که چگونه نوسان نسبت سهم تجارت نفت منطقه خلیج فارس به تجارت جهانی نفت بر رخداد خشونت و جنگ در این منطقه و پیرامون آن تاثیر می گذارد؟ در پاسخ به این پرسش، فرضیه بازدارندگی نفت ارایه شده است که با استفاده از داده های  موجود و مدل سازی ریاضی، درستی آن آزمون می شود. انتظار از مدل سازی این است که رخداد های  حاصل از افراط و تفریط در تجارت نفت منطقه را نشان داده و محدوده مناسبی از بازدارندگی تجارت نفت این منطقه را نمایش دهد. بازدارندگی نفت وجهی ساختاری دارد، و مستلزم  شرایطی است که به صورت گزاره ریاضی تعریف شده باشند. برای مدل سازی از حوزه دستگاه های  دینامیکی با تکنیک معادلات دیفرانسیل استفاده شده است. مدل ارایه شده نوسانی بودن مقوله بازدارندگی را نشان می دهد که بر اساس آن می توان «پهنای باند بازدارندگی» را محاسبه کرد. این محاسبه ها با داده های  میدانی نیز سازگاری پذیرفتنی ای دارد. رخ دادن جنگ های  متعدد در منطقه خلیج فارس و خاورمیانه، و نبود تناقض آن با بازدارندگی نفت بر اساس نظریه انشعاب توضیح داده می شود.
    کلیدواژگان: جنگ، خلیج فارس، دستگاه دینامیکی، معادلات دیفرانسیل، نفت، نوار بازدارندگی
  • حبیب الله فاضلی*، سید شهاب غدیری صفحات 717-742
    نظریه سکولاریزاسیون یکی از موضوع های جدل برانگیز در فلسفه سیاسی معاصر است. به طور کلی بر اساس این نظریه طی فرایند سکولار شدن، دین تنها کنار نمی رود، بلکه با ساحت این جهانی ارتباط برقرار می کند و به موجب آن برخی از مولفه های استعلایی اش درون ماندگار می شود. این نظریه بر اساس رویکردی الهیاتی اصالت نظریه های مدرن را نفی می کند. پژوهشگرانی مانند کارل اشمیت، کارل لوویت، جان میلبنک و ولفگانگ پالاور از پشتیبان های نظری این رویکردند. هدف این پژوهش ارایه شرحی انتقادی از کاستی این رویکرد تفسیری در مورد مطالعه توماس هابز، با تمرکز بیشتر روی نظریه دین مدنی اوست و تلاش می کند با روش تفسیر زمینه و متن اسکینری از آنچه اپیکوریسم سیاسی هابز خوانده می شود، به مانند تلاشی به طور کامل مدرن، در برابر تفسیر الهیاتی از لویاتان دفاع کند. پرسش های پژوهشی عبارت اند از: 1. چه ارتباطی بین فلسفه هابز و اپیکور وجود دارد؟ و 2. تفسیر الهیاتی از هابز چه تضاد بنیادینی با اپیکوریسم سیاسی او دارد؟ فرضیه پژوهش این است که اپیکوریسم سیاسی هابز به دلیل تضاد بنیادینی که با نظرگاه الهیات یهودی - مسیحی دارد، با خوانش الهیاتی از هابز ناسازگار است. این پژوهش با بررسی اندیشه هابز و بستر پیدایی آن و ارتباطش با احیای فلسفه اپیکوری، بین هستی شناسی، معرفت شناسی و اخلاقیات اپیکور و هابز، همچنین رویکرد این دو به سیاست، تناظرهای مفهومی ای برقرار می کند و بیانی از اپیکوریسم سیاسی را با اصطلاحی که دروغ الهیاتی نامیده می شود، در اندیشه هابز ترسیم می کند. این پژوهش نتیجه می گیرد آنچه در اندیشه سیاسی هابز به نظر الهیاتی می آید، در واقع دروغ الهیاتی اپیکوری است.
    کلیدواژگان: اپیکوریسم سیاسی، تفسیر الهیاتی، توماس هابز، دین مدنی، نظریه سکولاریزاسیون
  • سعیده لطفیان* صفحات 743-772
    هدف اصلی این پژوهش بررسی ماهیت رابطه فرماندهان نظامی با رهبران غیرنظامی امریکا به ویژه در دوران ریاست جمهوری ترامپ، و نیز چشم انداز تعامل آنها با توجه به سامان سیاسی و مردم سالاری است. احتمال بروز کودتای نظامی در کشورهای پیشرفته کم بوده، و در امریکا بعید است که فرماندهان نظامی در پنتاگون نقشه سرنگونی دولت را در سر بپرورانند. با این همه، بروز نشانه هایی از برجسته شدن نقش سیاسی نخبگان نظامی نگرانی های زیادی را درباره پیامدهای منفی این پیشامد برای مردم سالاری برانگیخت. پرسش های پژوهشی عبارت اند از: 1. تا چه حد نظامیان در امور سیاسی امریکا دخالت داشته اند؟ 2. چگونه و با چه پیامدهای سیاسی، روابط بین نظامیان و غیرنظامیان این کشور در دوران ریاست جمهوری ترامپ تغییر کرد؟ در فرضیه پژوهشی استدلال می شود که حرفه ای گرایی نظامی و نظارت غیرنظامیان مانع از مداخله نظامیان در سیاست در زمان بروز بحران های سیاسی می شود و به تقویت مردم سالاری کمک می کند. نخست، یافته های پژوهش های کارشناسان امریکایی در چارچوب مهم ترین نظریه های روابط نظامیان-غیرنظامیان بررسی شد. سپس با هدف واکاوی این روابط در دوره زمانی 2021-2016 با رویکردی تبیینی، به تجزیه وتحلیل محتوای مفهومی گزیده ای از توییت ها و بیانیه های ترامپ و فرماندهان نظامی بلندپایه امریکایی درباره مهم ترین مسایل نظامی تنش زا پرداخته شد. یافته ها نشان داد که رهبران نظامی به دلیل ویژگی شخصیتی و شیوه حکمرانی تضعیف کننده مردم سالاری ترامپ- بارها در موقعیت دشواری قرار گرفتند و دریافتند که باید نقش برجسته تری را در تصمیم گیری درباره مسایل امنیت ملی در چارچوب قانون اساسی امریکا ایفا کنند، ولی به دنبال کسب برتری سیاسی نبودند.
    کلیدواژگان: پرتوریانیسم، حرفه ای گرایی نظامی، مداخله پنهانی، نظارت غیرنظامیان، نقش سیاسی نظامیان
  • نسرین مصفا*، سکینه مهرابی صفحات 773-799

    افغانستان برای دهه های متوالی از خطرناک ترین مکان ها برای زنان به شمار می رود. تهاجم شوروی به افغانستان (1358-1367) آغاز دوره طولانی از نابسامانی و جنگ در این کشور بود. با وقوع رویداد یازدهم سپتامبر 2001 و حضور نیروها و نهادهای بین المللی در افغانستان ، و آغاز تلاش جهانی برای بهبود وضعیت زنان، ادبیات گسترده ای درباره تاثیر این جنگ ها بر وضعیت زنان افغانستان شکل گرفت. با این همه، بیشتر این ادبیات، بر ارایه چهره قربانی زنان افغان، تمرکز کرده اند. هدف این پژوهش، بررسی آثار توانمندسازانه جنگ بر زنان در سطح فردی و خانواده بر اساس تجربه های زیسته شده زنان افغان از زمان پیدایش طالبان در 1375 تا خروج نیروهای ناتو در 1393 است. برای پاسخ به این پرسش که «آثار جنگ بر توانمندی زنان افغان چیست؟» در این پژوهش، با رویکردی تحلیلی- تبیینی و با استفاده از روش مصاحبه نیمه ساختاریافته و ژرف به گردآوری و تحلیل داده ها پرداخته شده و با 88 نفر از زنان افغان ساکن در کابل مصاحبه انجام گرفته است. در تجزیه وتحلیل نهایی با تکیه بر رویکرد فمینیستی که بر مفاهیمی چون جنسیت و روابط قدرت میان دو جنس تمرکز دارد، و بر اساس مفهوم توانمندسازی دریافتیم که جنگ، با وجود تاثیر ویرانگر بر وضعیت زنان، از خلال تغییر نقش ها و مسیولیت های جنسیتی، عهده دار شدن سرپرستی خانواده، تغییر نگرش زنان و بلوغ اجتماعی، به توانمندی زنان منجر شده است.

    کلیدواژگان: توانمندی، جنگ، خانواده، زنان افغان، نقش های جنسیتی
  • آمنه میرخوشخو* صفحات 801-825
    از مهم ترین پرسش های مطرح در روش شناسی علوم اجتماعی در تمایز با روش شناسی علوم طبیعی، رابطه بین عینیت و واقعیت است. پرسش اصلی این است که چگونه می توان بدون استفاده از روش های اثبات گرایانه (پوزیتویستی) از عینیت علوم فرهنگی و اجتماعی دفاع کرد؟ ماکس وبر از مهم ترین افرادی است که سعی داشت رویکرد روشی علوم اجتماعی را بازیابی کند تا ضمن حفظ منحصربودگی آن، بتواند پاسخگوی علمی بودن و عینیت در این علوم باشد. مهم ترین ادعای او درباره ایجاد روشی متمایز برای علوم اجتماعی، ورود ارزش ها به سامان پژوهش ها و واقعیت های اجتماعی بود. یکی از بارزترین ارزش هایی که پژوهشگر علوم اجتماعی درگیر آن است، ارزش های سیاسی یا علایق مربوط به سیاست است. در پژوهش های وبر، استدلال شده که جدایی قضاوت های ارزشی عملی (نگرش های سیاسی، اخلاقی، زیباشناسی، فرهنگی و غیره) از برداشت های منطقی یا واقعیت های مشاهده شده تجربی ممکن و مطلوب است. در این پژوهش با رویکردی تحلیلی- تبیینی، از روش تحلیل متون استفاده شده است تا آثار مربوط به مباحث روش شناسی ماکس وبر با تمرکز بر دو مفهوم ارزش و عینیت بررسی شود. به عنوان مهم ترین دستاورد این پژوهش، ارتباط دو مفهوم ارزش و عینیت در مطالعه سیاست و به طور ویژه ارزش ها و مواضع سیاسی در شکل گیری و فرایند پژوهش نشان داده می شود. با تفکیک ربط ارزشی سیاسی عالمان از مواضع سیاسی آنها، می توان به تبیین علمی دست یافت که عینیت در پژوهش های اجتماعی-سیاسی را محقق سازد
    کلیدواژگان: ارزش، روش شناسی، سیاست، عینیت، ماکس وبر
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  • Mahdi Omidi *, Seyed Mohamad Hadi Moqadasi Pages 609-629
    Various scholars in universities and research centers have conducted studies on the nature of political system of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI);  and some political experts consider the IRI as an authoritarian regime. In this article, we use the theory of Juan Jose Linz to assess the authoritarianism of the Islamic Republic, given that Linz was perhaps the first scholar to offer a coherent theory of authoritarianism based on his field studies of the contemporary political regimes. He also had looked at  the case of Iranian regime. Using the method of qualitative conceptual content analysis, we examine and evaluate the degree of adaptation of authoritarian components in Iran from the perspective of Linz. The hypothesis of this research is that Jose Linz’s theory  on the ternary components of authoritarianism is unable to explain the political structure of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The main goals of this study are twofold: a. to assess the place of the Islamic Republic in the classification of types of political regime; and b) to give an unbiased and appropriate answer to those who classify Iran’s regime in the category of authoritarian political entities. Few studies have critically examined the relationship between the Islamic Republic and authoritarianism.The findings of this study show that the components of Linz's authoritarianism do not apply to the Islamic Republic. According to Linz, the components of authoritarianism are the concentration of power, limited political participation, and ideology. Political power in the Islamic Republic of Iran is distributed between the people and the Supreme Leader, who is able to exercise most of his powers with the help of natural or legal persons, or public entities. The leader must make decisions based on the interests of the people and in consultation with experts. The leader's decisions must be made in accordance with the law, but in case of an extraordinary situation (such as foreign invasion or other emergencies) he can have emergency but after the urgency has passed, he must act in accordance with the official provisions of law again. Limited participation in the Islamic Republic has been assessed on the basis of the strict supervision of the Guardian Council (GC) over elections by approving or disqualifying candidates, and claimed to be for the purpose of the allocation of sovereignty to a particular faction or group. This claim is incorrect, because sovereignty belongs to the people in the Constitution, and the GC and other bodies which oversee the elections have to work in accordance with the election law, and are not authorized to favor one faction or group over the others. The Guardian Council has been tasked with vetting of candidates through a qualification process to ensure that they have the requirement for qualification as enshrined in the Constitution (such as  loyalty to the Constitution and believe in Islam, and so on), and it has no veto power. The use of the indicator of ideological governance for the measurement of authoritarianism in the IRI also has two major drawbacks: the rejection of alternatives and the lack of a platform for individual talents to flourish. According to the second principle of the Constitution of the IRI, human dignity and freedom must be ensured through continuous ijtihad as well as the use of human knowledge and experience. Thus, the ground is prepared for the flourishing and diversity of individual talents. For example, in the preamble to the constitution, provisions are included to allow for the use of human experience to facilitate people's relationship to administrative obligations.  In the general policies of the Sixth Development Plan, the creation of e-government has been  prioritized to improve the quality of governance and cope with bureaucratic impediments. In the field of economic activities and fundamental freedoms, government officials and bureaucrats have been obliged to observe laws and regulations in various articles of the constitution, and other legal documents. The authors show the incompatibility of the Linz’s components of authoritarianism with the case of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and argue that the IRI has a mixed political system of government. They also claim that coordinated government has had a place in the history of political thought, and is philosophically justifiable. Co-governance (shared-governance) is the principle of collective authority and agency, and is a valuable counterpart to democracy.
    Keywords: authoritarianism, concentration of power, Islamic Republic of Iran, Juan Jose Linz, Limited Political Participation
  • Ali Bagheri Dolatabadi *, Mohammad Mojahedzadeh Pages 631-663

    For most non-academics, foreign policy is one of the most obvious aspects of politics. Most people believe that they have enough knowledge to comment on foreign policy, and this is a main reason that discussion on Iran's foreign policy is one of the hottest conversation topics among Iranians. The nature of these debates is mostly intense and lively criticism of foreign policy of the country in an unscientific manner. At the same time, as expected the foreign policy issues are evaluated by experts and experienced researchers in Iranian academic circles. The two research questions to be answered in the present paper are as follows: 1. What is the status of critiquing  Iranian foreign policy in academic research in Iran? 2. What are the weaknesses and  strengths of  these critiques? In the hypothesis, we argue that the characteristics of education and political culture of Iran have contributed to the shortcomings of the works addressing foreign policy of Iran in a proper manner.In the article, critical thinking has been adopted as the theoretical framework, because critical thinking is the analysis of known facts, evidence, observations, and arguments with the goal of assessing and forming an opinion about certain issues. In other words, critical thinking is a mode of thinking about any subject or problem, by which a person improves the quality of his or her thinking by skillfully taking charge of the structures inherent in thinking and imposing intellectual standards upon them. Critical thinking is a rich concept of high value that has been developing throughout the past decades.  The term critical thinking has its roots in the mid-late 20th century, but its adoption as an educational goal has been recommended because of  respect for students’ self-reliance and the need to prepare students to be successful in life as well as for democratic citizenship. The so-called critical thinkers have the dispositions and abilities that lead them to think critically when appropriate.To answer the main research questions, quantitative and qualitative methods of data collection and analysis were used. A representative sample of papers published in the Foreign Policy Quarterly in the period 2016-2021 was taken. The reason for choosing this journal as the focus of our study is that it has been publishing research on Iran's foreign policy and related topics for many years. Out of 129 articles published during this time period, 51 articles specifically discussed issues related to Iran. 28 articles were on political-security issues, 8 articles on economic issues, 9 articles on political-economic issues, and finally 6 articles had considered all four political, political, economic, social, and cultural dimensions of foreign policy analysis. In the first step, we evaluated the content of these 51 articles on Iran's foreign policy carefully and completely. Of the 51 articles, only 23 directly focused on Iran's foreign policy, and only one paper was written with a critical approach. The findings revealed that all these articles had serious shortcomings in one or more issues which needed to be underscored in order to conduct a thorough research. Inadequacies were observed in the following areas: careful literature review to show historical background, use of an appropriate research method, adopting a theoretical framework, recommendations for future research or for  policy choices, attempts to make predictions about the future by using methods such as scenario building.The authors conclude that the origins of the lack of critical thinking must be searched in educational and cultural domains: First, it was argued that enough attention have not been paid to critical thinking in Iranian schools and universities. Therefore, the students are encouraged to accept and praise viewpoints in an uncritical manner instead of learning to be critical thinkers. Likewise, Iran's educational system is such that it does not welcome critical research for publication. Therefore, authors prefer to focus on topics that are more likely to be accepted and published in journals instead of working on critical articles. Unfortunately, the researchers are not influenced by strong personal and scientific motives for fact-finding and problem-solving, and are mostly concerned with  job requirements and other mundane variables. As a result, the papers are not sufficiently innovative since the topics are occasionally repetitive or with little value for policymakers or scientific community. The predominance of the positivist approach in teaching students in universities is one of the other weaknesses that has discouraged researchers to welcome critical works. Thus, the researchers who generally use conservative and non-critical approaches do not seek to change the general direction of politics and help the reconstruction of power relations. In addition to the educational factor, Iranian political culture has contributed to the lack of interest in critical works being conducted and published. Authors’ feelings of insecurity to express different opinions and fear of the consequences of expressing different thoughts have made them to endorse ideas instead of criticizing ideas and policies. Although it is now generally accepted that critical thinking can be taught and cultural weaknesses can be overcome, not enough effort has been made to change this problematic aspect of political culture, which has reduced the motivation for researchers, students, and university professors to engage in debates and critiques in academic journals. In Iranian universities, instead of teaching critical thinking, students are taught how not to get into trouble by adopting a conservative stance which avoids criticizing the views of others. Low level of tolerance in Iranian society for being criticized is another cultural weaknesses, which has led people to be more conservative. Another underlying factor for inadequate attention paid  to critical research goes back to the lack of encouragement by the officials in Iranian diplomatic community who do not think they need academicians to conduct this type of research. Instead of welcoming criticism of policies and programs, foreign ministry officials have sought to hire academics who defend the current state-of-affairs, and justify the existing programs and policies.

    Keywords: critical thinking, critique, Foreign Policy Quarterly, Iran's Foreign Policy, political culture
  • Rozhan Hesam Ghazi *, Mohammad Nejadiran Pages 665-690
    Dariush Shaygan is an outstanding intellectual figure who is familiar with the traditional heritage and culture of Iranian society, and has a relatively complete knowledge of modernity and its philosophical foundations. However, what have made his thoughts remarkable are the gradual changes that have taken place in his attitude towards modernity during his intellectual life. In the first period of his intellectual life, Shaygan was strongly anti-modernist and considered it a European-centered phenomenon which was in the stage of nihilism and absurdity; and he was concerned with its dominance over Eastern culture and spirituality. Years later, he changed his views in an obvious way and  recognized modernity as a superior meta-narrative, and believed that its dominance over other cultures and civilizations were inevitable. The main objective of  this research is to find the underlying reasons for the transformation of Shaygan's attitude towards modernity, and his confrontation with political and social developments of his time. The perceptible transformation of his views on modernity can be seen in his books published during two time periods: a) Those written before the Islamic Revolution of Iran (e.g., “Mental Idols and Eternal Memory;” and “Asia vs. the West”; and b)  books published one and two decades after the Revolution (namely, “New Enchantment,” and “Forty-piece Identity and Mobile Thinking,” In the first post-revolution decade,  Shaygan was strongly influenced by the developments caused by this particularly momentous event in Iranian contemporary  history; and consequently, he tried to analyze the ontological foundations of the occurrence of this astonishing revolution. During the last years of his life, the focus of his work  was on the literary and cultural heritage of the East and the West, as seen in his two books entitled “In Search of Lost Spaces,” and “Five Climates of Presence: A Discussion on Iranian Poetry.” In this research, we evaluate these books by using the method of qualitative conceptual analysis.It is argued that Shaygan’s attention to Kant's approach to the critique of pure reason led him to distance himself from his previous Heideggerian interpretation of modernity. By criticizing metaphysics, Kant created a new possibility for a pluralistic design of modern thought. A possibility that could be an opportunity to break out of the impasse of modern nihilism and move to a kind of radical cognitive freedom in the context of modernity. Shaygan's attention to postmodern ideas —instead of the traditional Eastern heritage — as a new philosophical basis for overcoming Heidegger's previous Nietzschean approach, has been made possible by this re-reading of Kant's critical rationality, and perhaps by his attention to Watimo's views. The authors try to answer the following main research question: What are the reasons for the change in Shaygan's attitude towards the relationship between modernity and cultural heritage of Eastern societies, from the perspective of Heidegger-Nietzsche's view of Kant? In the hypothesis, it is postulated that  the prevalence of anti-Western political radicalism in Iran showed Shaygan that Nietzsche-Heidegger's reading of Eastern heritage and the denial of modernity had no effect other than its ideological reproduction. Shaygan reconsidered the foundations of modernity in the context of a Kantian and post-Kantian pluralism. Realizing the danger of the negation of modernity, Shaygan concluded that the interaction between the Eastern traditions and modernity is inevitable. This interaction was not seen possible with the earlier approach based on the negation and reduction of modernity to nihilism. Reconsideration of Shaygan’s  approach was inspired by Watimo's Kantian reading of Nietzsche; and thus, he sought to adopt a Kantian and post-Kantian approach to Eastern modernity and tradition. While modernity is universally interpreted, Eastern traditions are not considered as alternatives to modernity, but as spiritual complement to give meaning to human life in the modern age.
    Keywords: Dariush Shaygan, Globalization, Heidegger's Approach, Kantian Approach, Modernity
  • Gholam Reza Rokni Lamouki *, Abbas Zamanian Pages 691-715
    The role of oil, which seems a constant factor in the contemporary Iranian political studies, has been studied in economic, social, and political domains of the country in various ways. However, oil as a strategic natural resource has also influenced regional and national security, particularly in the Persian Gulf countries which are top exporters in the international oil markets. The interdependency of oil exporters and importers has created some kind of mutual vulnerability, and thus the oil trade requires security. Moreover, the countries in the oil-rich Persian Gulf and its vicinity have been experiencing conflicts and wars for decades. The occurrence of wars has often undermined the security of the global oil trade. We try to explain oil market oscillations, considering that the oil market is volatile, and also the supply, demand, and prices of this strategic resource fluctuate. The share of oil-rich regions and countries in the global oil trade also tend to change continually. Because natural resources such as oil are limited, any increase or decrease in oil production and exports in one region affects other oil-rich regions. Since these fluctuations have consequences, it is assumed that these fluctuations affect the occurrence of violence and war in the oil-rich regions. The main research question is: How do the increase or decrease in the share of Persian Gulf oil exports of the world oil exports affect the occurrence of violence and war in this region and its vicinity? To find an appropriate answer to this question, we articulated and tested the "oil deterrence" hypothesis by using mathematical modeling and analyzing the available data.Deterrence theories in international politics are based on military capability as well as other capabilities which can be transformed into military capability. Nevertheless, oil deterrence is based on the strategic attribute of this commodity and its trade. The high level of mutual vulnerability of the exporting and importing countries makes oil a strategic commodity that requires some stability. Given the inherent oscillation of the oil market, one needs to adopt an efficient method to define and calculate its consequences. We recommend the use of dynamical system theory by which both the oscillations over time and the desirable and undesirable consequences can be defined and calculated. The expectation from modeling is to identify the events resulting from the oil exports' extremes and to show the appropriate range of deterrence of the Persian Gulf oil exports. Oil deterrence requires conditions that are defined as mathematical propositions.When we have numerical information about an object and the results of that information are qualitative, one way to increase the accuracy of the relationship between quantities and qualities is to construct a model of the object. The quantitative (numeric) data on the volume of Persian Gulf oil exports and the world's total oil exports in different time periods are available, and fluctuate. However, information on the occurrence of conflicts and wars are not readily obtainable in numerical form. So, we define a positive quantity as a coefficient of deterrence that is a function of time. Furthermore, we consider the quantity of deterrence, which is also a function of time. These time functions are then placed as a state variable and an output variable in a differential equation. The upper and lower bounds indicate the extremes of the share of the region's oil exports. Interestingly, no war has been waged as long as output quantity oscillates within the upper and lower bands. Therefore, it is expected that the same relationship would be observed in the future. This model has been tested once by simulating the desired information, and a second time by using the actual data collected.The proposed model shows the deterrence category well and has acceptable compatibility with the data. We have computed the oil deterrence bandwidth in the Persian Gulf. This model shows that deterrence against violence and war can be an oscillating phenomenon and be affected by macroeconomic variables. Another result is that the outbreak of wars in the Persian Gulf region is the result of bifurcation resulting from crossing the deterrence band. The results of the calculations show why — despite the high tensions in recent years — a war between Iran and the United States has not started, while the United States invaded Iraq under seemingly similar circumstances. Although the region has been the location of various wars for decades, no war has started in the deterrence band. Therefore, the model can help decision-makers in the region to make forward-looking policy decisions to avoid the escalations of crises to devastating wars. This is a step towards calculating quality matters, which can then include other qualities and clarify the decision-making conditions.
    Keywords: Deterrence Bandwidth, Oil, Persian Gulf, War
  • Habibollah Fazeli *, Seyyed Shahab Ghadiri Pages 717-742
    Interpreting the ideas of early modern philosophers through the lens of theology and secularization thesis has arguably been one of the controversial issues in contemporary political philosophy. Following this thesis, religion is not simply discarded; instead, it interacts with the worldly sphere, by which some of its transcendental components become immanent. It underscores theological reading of modern theories and undermines their legitimacy as modern. Thinkers like Carl Schmitt, Carl Löwith and John Milbank support this standpoint. The aim of this article is to provide a critical account on this interpretive horizon in the case of Thomas Hobbes and his concept of civil religion. Following Quentin Skinner’s methodological contextualism as method, this essay tries to defend what it calls political Epicureanism of Hobbes as a radically modern idea against theological readings of Hobbes. The main questions of this investigation are: What kind of relationship is there between Hobbes and Epicurus? and, What is the fundamental problem between theological reading of Hobbes and his political Epicureanism? This article assumes that Hobbes’s Epicureanism is fundamentally in contrast with Judo-Christian theology and thus, is broadly incompatible with theological readings of him. By investigating Hobbes’s philosophy and its context, its relationship with Epicurean philosophy, this article draws a conceptual association between Hobbes and Epicurus in terms of their ontology, epistemology, ethics and their attitude toward politics. It also distinguishes Hobbes’s Epicureanism by what is termed as theological lying and concludes that what appears to be Hobbes’s theological expression is in fact an Epicurean theological lie.
    Keywords: civil religion, Political Epicureanism, secularization, Theological Reading, Thomas Hobbes
  • Saideh Lotfian * Pages 743-772
    American society is struggling to deal with the mounting social tensions between different political orientations of the extremists and the moderate forces amid the increasing likelihood of a military confrontation between the great powers in a turbulent global environment. All of these events necessitate some reorientation in thinking about US military, and its relations with the civilian leadership. The two main objectives of this paper are to investigate the nature of the relationship between military commanders and civilian leaders in the U.S. particularly during Donald Trump’s presidency, and to examine the impact of their interactions on political stability and democracy. Since the probability of a military coup in politically advanced countries is low, it is unlikely that the military commanders in the Pentagon would be planning to overthrow the civilian government. However, the signs of more prominent political role of military elites have led to serious concerns about the negative consequences of politicization of the armed forces for democracy. The research questions are as follows: 1. To what extent have the military been involved in American politics? 2. How, and with what political consequences, had the relations between the U.S. military and civilian leaders changed during Trump's presidency?The civilian governments occasionally have to ask the men and women, who serve in the U.S. military—an all-volunteer force— to perform non-military tasks which are usually assigned to the first-responders such as police, firefighters, and paramedics working for emergency services. The severity and urgency of some crises may require the involvement of the well-prepared and professional military personnel to promptly help the victims of natural or man-made disasters such as floods, earthquakes, forest fires, pandemics, and so on. These crises do not necessarily have immediate security implications, but must be managed in an orderly and timely fashion to minimize the human and material cost associated with them. The well-organized cooperation between the U.S. armed forces and the non-military services involved in these types of crisis management has proven useful.Since the military officers swore an oath to defend the Constitution and impartially serve the country, it is objectionable for them to be involved in politics in order to promote the political agenda of a particular President or party in a partisan manner.In the research hypothesis, it is postulated that military professionalism and civilian control prevent military intervention in politics during political crises and help to strengthen democracy. First, the findings of research conducted by the leading theorists of civil-military relations are carefully examined. Then, with the goal of analyzing the relations between Trump and the military in the 2016-2021 time period, key tweets and statements made by Trump and high-ranking American military commanders about the most contentious military-related issues are identified. Using a qualitative conceptual content analysis, three major issue-areas which had caused tension between Trump and the military are observed. These issue-areas are: a) The withdrawal of US military forces stationed in the territories of other states; b) the declaration of war and the accidental or unauthorized use of nuclear weapons; and C) the intervention of the armed forces in domestic political disputes.The findings of the research showed that the military leaders — due to Trump's personality and governance style that undermined democracy— were repeatedly put in a difficult position, and realized that they should play a more prominent role in deciding on national security issues within the framework of the US Constitution. The military elites were not in pursuit of political superiority.
    Keywords: Civilian Control, Military Professionalism, Political Role of the Military, Praetorianism, Stealth Intervention
  • Nasrin Mosaffa *, Sakine Mehrabi Pages 773-799

    Afghanistan has been one the most dangerous places for women —This is the commonly accepted view, either socially or scholarly, without any further deliberation. There is a long tumultuous history of conflicts contributing to the worsening situation: the 1979 Soviet invasion, the Afghan Civil War, the Taliban rule, the U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan after 11 September 2001, the stagnant conditions of governance since then, and now the ensuing conflicts. Such description should not negate the partial improvements to the status of women in Afghanistan’s politics and society, though often dubbed as one step forward and two steps backward. In light of such crises, a significant portion of the literature gravitates towards simply depicting women in Afghanistan as victims without due attention to their struggle for empowerment. The article aims to convey how the individuals, often labeled as victims, describe their own situation, struggle, journey, and status. As much as being a theoretical and empirical discussion of Afghanistan and women in Afghanistan, the article also urges for ethical and reflexive methodologies. The findings could be applicable to further studies on the situation of women in other conflict zones.The authors attempt to find an answer for the main research question: How has the conflicts and war affected Afghan women? In the research hypothesis, it is asserted that despite of negative impacts of war on Afghan women, it has also created some spaces for women empowerment. Pursuing this claim, we focus on Afghan women's life experiences between the rise of the Taliban in 1996 and the exit of NATO forces in 2014. Through qualitative and semi-structured interviews with 88 Afghan women in Kabul, we assess the post-war empowering on individual and collective levels. The interviews were conducted over a five-month fieldwork in Kabul in 2019 Within the feminism theoretical framework focusing on concepts like gender, gendered power relations, gender roles, the article assesses that with devastating impacts of the war, there was a seismic transformation of gendered roles. The example of these transformations include women becoming heads of  households, change in views of women, and social changes that manifested themselves individually and within families.With the lesser presence of men and increased participation of women in public spaces, the war's transformative deconstruction of power relations and structures triggers a series of changes in population, economic, and cultural aspects of their lived experiences, and so on. This lived experience is transformed by their meaningful ability to choose, which is how they and the authors’ of this article view as an indication of women empowerment. In Afghanistan, families are treated as one of the core units within the social and political structure of the country. Based on familial relations and tribal loyalties, the unit is constructed within an unequal power relation between genders and is deeply patriarchal. Changes in gender relations will not occur over night, but certain events such as wars can be triggers which would start or speed up the process of change.An example is changed perception on issues such as marriage and related topics as a result of the war. Women are killed and injured during wars, they lose relatives and husbands, they struggle for survival, but a new identity is borne out of the wartime struggles. Despite the difficulties and struggles of the war, the interviewees did not acknowledge themselves as the pitiful victims of war. The majority of their answers could be grouped as expressing resolute hope, rooted in perceiving themselves as wartime heroes who survived the war and obtained their own agency. Changes in gender roles, leading families, immigrations and different lived experiences, expansion of communication and media, raising awareness among women, legal and institutional progress benefiting women specifically from 2001 to 2022, provided necessary resources and structures for increased agency among women. While the dominant traditional discourses still continue to influence women's agency actively, as one of the interviewees said, "literacy and awareness" cannot be reversed.

    Keywords: Afghan women, Empowerment, gender relations, Taliban, War
  • Amene Mirkhoshkhou * Pages 801-825
    One of the most important questions raised in the methodology of social science— as compared to natural science methodology— is concerned with the relationship between objectivity and reality. Max Weber was a well-known social theorist of the twentieth century, who tried to find the best methodology for the social science research which had the characteristics of being objective and scientific. As a scientist, Weber conducted extensive research in various fields of law, economics, history, sociology, and concentrated his efforts on presenting a sound method for cultural and social science research. In fact, he is viewed as one of the influential pioneers and architects of the works on social sciences methodology. Weber's ideas as a methodologist of the cultural and social sciences have remained pertinent, and are still taken into consideration in methodological discourse. Thus, a score of scholars has examined and discussed the  nature of Weber's ideas on value freedom and the role of social science, and even  the usefulness of his ideas for the methodology of a given discipline (such as political science). Some have argued that social sciences should be value free, and the problem of researchers’ value-intrusion leading to inadequate objectivity ought to be addressed. In contrast, others have advocated all the methods in the social sciences that make social research more relevant to the social problems. In their view, since the value of social research is to be judged by its social and cultural utility, politically-motivated and politically-guided research can also produce valuable results and be scientifically worthy.In this paper, the author discusses Max Weber's methodology, particularly focusing on the concepts of value and objectivity. The primary research questions is, “How should one defend the objectivity of cultural and social sciences without using the positivist methods?” One can hardly disagree with the argument that social science research must be based on actual facts and reasoning, rather than guided by insufficient evidence and biased judgment. However, it is difficult to agree that the main goal of all social science research ought to be value-neutrality and objectivity. By adopting an analytical-descriptive approach, Weber’s relevant writings about ‘objectivity’ and ‘value neutrality’ in the social science research are identified and analyzed by the use of qualitative conceptual analysis.  The goal was to examine the significance of Weber’s arguments on the methodology of the social sciences, and particularly his concepts of value freedom, value relation as applied to the sphere of politics, in addition to other pertinent aspects of Weber’s methodological position. Weber does not recommend indifference to political issues. The most important finding of this research is to show the relationship between the two concepts of value and objectivity in the study of politics, especially the role of political values in the research process. By separating the political value-relation of scholars from their political valuations, it would be possible to obtain scientific explanations in sociopolitical research.
    Keywords: Max Weber, methodology, objectivity, politics, Value