نشریه سیاست ها و تحقیقات اقتصادی
سال دوم شماره 2 (پیاپی 6، تابستان 1402)

The purpose of this study is to investigate the shock spillover of parallel markets in stock market fluctuations; in OPEC member countries. For this purpose, the information of the 2010-2020 period and the vector error correction model have been usedThe mid-term results show: the volatility spillover function first decreases and then increases with the increase in oil prices, and also with the increase in the economic growth rate, it remains unchanged and also with the exchange rate shock, it improves first with a moderate slope and then with a gentle slope. Based on the results of variance analysis, the changes in the fluctuation overflow and then the oil price have the most impact compared to other variables in the fluctuation overflow function. Based on the long-term results the volatility spillover function did not react much to changes in oil prices, and it also did not change to changes in the economic growth rate, first with a high slope and then with a gentle increase, as well as with the shock of the exchange rate. Also, based on the results of variance analysis, volatility spillover has a very high sensitivity to the volatility spillover itself and then economic growth.

The knowledge-based economy increases the skills, efficiency, creativity and innovation of the human force and reduces unemployment in the economy by increasing employment. The purpose is to investigate the effect of the knowledge-based economy on the unemployment rate in different provinces of Iran using the panel data approach. Four main indicators of knowledge-based economy, including education and human resources index, innovation and invention index, information and communication infrastructure index, and institutional and economic regimes index, have been used. The findings show that the innovation and invention index and the education and human resources index have a negative effect on the unemployment rate in the given period in the provinces of Iran. Also, the results show that the institutional and economic regime index and the information and communication infrastructure index have no significant effect on the unemployment rate in the economic provinces of Iran. Therefore, the economic policy makers of the country, especially the Planning and Development Council of the provinces of the country, have paid special attention to the promotion of education and human resources indicators in order to reduce the unemployment rate, and to allocate the necessary support and significant budget in the sector of innovation and inventions.