Survey Of Reduction Procedure Of Facilities Interest Rate And Its Role On Inflation Indicator And Presantiation Apporpriate Pattern For Management And Control In Iran Between 1375-86

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Abstract:
One of the most important macro-economic variables, the interest rate facilities that has an important influence on the inflation indicator. So that facilities with higher profits, cost of capital increases, which will lead to increased production costs. According to the theory of cost push inflation, increasing production costs, the total supply curve moved to the left and provides an increase in inflation. In this research; first, we evaluate facilities interest rate beetwen 1375-86 and inflation indicator rate by using Vector Autoregressive Regression (VAR), Auto Regressive Distrebuted Lag (ARDL) and Dichey - Fuller test on the Schwartz - Bayesian ciriterion in long period term and for estimating relationship in these elements of short term period; we use Error correction model. correlation method is used in this research and Data gathering is in bibliotheca and documantaries. As a result; it implies according to statistics experiments; relation between facilities interest rate and inflation indicator of long term period is expressive and to reduction in facilities interest rate concludes decrease in inflation indicator. in short term period this relationsheep is meaningless and reduction in facilities interest rate has a negligible trace in Iran economy.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Financial Knowledge of Securities Analysis, Volume:5 Issue: 14, 2012
Page:
103
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