Develop and identify possible & plausible eGovernment services scenarios in Iran by 1404

Many documents in the field of e-government services in Iran have been developed and has recently been approved, but these documents were ignored future trends and scenarios. The aim of research is developeing futures scenario of e-government services by1404. In this study, using the global network business and success factors, the important uncertainities are identified by expert’s opinions. Population are of 50 Iranian egovernment experts and futurists. The current research, is the compound research. Using questionnaires and analysis of documents and expert panel the required data are gathered. Validity of the questionnaire assessed using the panel of experts and the Cronbach's alpha was used for validation. With determination of three uncertainty composed of trust, interoperability and world trade market entry according to the expert's views as the main scenario, eight scenarios were extracted. Then, with the help of experts, four scenario with higher degree of feasibility were selected which allows policymakers to deal with the best possible of future situation.