Chaos Methodology in Embedding the Efforts of Military Logistics (Implementation in the pricing of value in purchase of strategic defensive equipments)

Message:
Abstract:
The present study deals with chaos symbols in various domains of logistics by introducing historical developments and reviewing the characteristics of chaotic systems (butterfly effect, dynamic adaptation, strange attractors, self-similarity). Following, upon explaining chaos tests in nonlinear domain such as BDS, artificial neural networks, Kaplan, etc, and in chaos like Liapunov Exponent, Entropy Kolmogorov, Profile of Hurst Exponent, etc, it is determined that the chaos process is possible to be explored in temporal series and if there exists a chaos process in some series, it will be possible to change the situation and establish order with executing some policies and strategies and then managing the related complex conditions . In the same vein, the methodology to estimate the chaos process is designed and explained to determine, assess and embed chaos in logistic and commercial spheres. Given the existing needs, the process of monthly changes in sale price of strategic defensive good is reviewed in relation to the previous years and then tested in this study. Hence, it is determined that the proposed price for purchase of the mentioned product owns an apparently random but chaotic process. As if it is possible to conduct the reconnaissance process of variables more objectively and administer a better logistic management on the chaotic commercial activities.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal Scientific Research of Strategic Defence Studies, Volume:12 Issue: 58, 2015
Page:
75
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