Future Study of Decision Models in Business Using Scenario Planning Approach

Abstract:
From the beginning, Operations Research or decision models have been met with several developments. Futures survey of OR and the necessity of planning for it in literature is considered less. Sporadic activities in the literature haven’t required methodological. This study aims to identify the exploratory scenarios of OR by Critical Uncertainties approach. To develop the plausible scenarios of OR, the comments of domestic and foreign experts were collected by questionnaire with Delphi approach. After extracting the uncertainties, the plausible scenarios of OR were identified by seminar workshops. These scenarios include: solar system, Esfandiar eye, competitor Satraps, Phoenix. Imagination of the single future for all academic departments is away from reality. According to the conditions, each of these futures and a combination of them are imaginable.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Future Studies Management, Volume:28 Issue: 1, 2017
Pages:
33 to 50
https://www.magiran.com/p1720520  
سامانه نویسندگان
  • Fathi، Mohammad Reza
    Author (2)
    Fathi, Mohammad Reza
    Associate Professor university of tehran, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
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