Future Studies Urban bubble in Tehran metropolitan

Urban bubbles are a new topic in urban planning issues for examining sustainability at various levels of social, economic, environmental, and management. Until now, a common definition of urban bubbles has not been presented, indicating that there are not many studies in this area. This research was aimed at considering the future situation of city bourgeois in Tehran metropolis using scenario approach. This research is in terms of its purpose and in terms of the collection of exploratory information. The required information was collected from field studies and documents. In field studies, Delphi technique was performed in the form of a group of 30 people. To analyze the data, the interactive effects analysis method was used in MICMAC software. The results of this study indicate that 56 factors were first identified as key factors in five institutional, managerial, economic, social and environmental dimensions affecting the future situation of urban bubbles. Then, with the opinion of the experts, 25 agents were identified. The results of the study indicate that the dispersion of the variables indicates the instability of Tehran's metropolitan system. Five categories of influential, dual, regulatory, influential and independent factors were identified. Final scores and ranking of key factors were carried out and finally, three scenarios were presented for the future status of urban bubbles in Tehran metropolitan