Analysis the Variability of Agroclimatic Feasibility of Aloe Vera Cultivation in Hormozgan Province under four CO2 Representative Concentration Pathways

Agriculture is one of the most important aspect of human life that has strong relationship with climate condition. Therefore, any changes in climatic condition lead to significant changes in agriculture. The main object of this study is to analyze the spatial dynamics of suitable agro climatic area of Aloe Vera cultivation in Hormozgan Province under climate change condition. Two types of date were used to determine the suitable agro climatic area for Alo-Vera Cultivation in Hormozgan Province namely: minimum and maximum temperature, long term mean annual rainfall and environmental factors such as slop, aspect, soil type and elevation. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) also has been used to determine the special weight of each factor. The results from combination of variables showed that the southern coasts are the best regions to cultivate this herb. However, some parts were regarded as salt domes causing some limitations. The Northern parts was recognized as less significant regions for Aloe Vera growth. The Results indicated in 4 RCPs scenarios the agro climatic zones of Alo-Vera significantly changed in compared to current climatic condition. The results indicated that under RCP, 6 the spatial changes of Agroclimatic area of Aloe-Vera were greater than other scenarios.