Futures Study of Urban Land Use Change in Tabriz Metropolis

One of the most important issues of sustainable urban development is the study and forecast of land use change patterns that are directly related to climate pollution, soil erosion and demographic and economic changes. The city of tomorrow is the result of today's decisions. Therefore, it cannot be prepared for future issues and future challenges, notably in the field of land use in metropolises, irrespective of future and futures studies. Therefore, this research with the approach of future study sought to investigate and identify the factors affecting land use change in Tabriz metropolitan area from 2018 (1397 AH) to 2028 (1407AH). The research method was an exploratory analytical type. The required information was collected from a survey of documents and a researcher-made questionnaire. To analyze the results, Cross Impact Analysis technique has been used in MicMac software. The results indicated that urban development, economic dependence, dominant economic role of the city, urban development plans, housing market development, manufacturing relations, capital accumulation, urban change, economic reconstruction, land prices, and migration respectively had the most effect on land use changes in Tabriz metropolitan area.