Application of Dynamic Panel Model to Evaluate Impacts of Construction Credits on Rural Population Stability (Case Study: Zanajn Township

With the formation of the process of inequality of access to welfare considered by human societies, economic and social contexts and motives as well as factors of population displacement also emerge. Despite all the efforts made towards rural development in the form of various projects, the process of depopulation of villages continues. One of the important policies in the process of rural development of the country is to spend development credits to achieve the goals of rural development. The present study evaluates the impact of construction credits on rural population stability. This research is of practical type and has an analytical nature. The statistical population of this study is all villages with more than twenty households in Zanjan township by rural area (Dehestan). To evaluate the effects, construction credits were considered separately for construction sectors and rural areas. Then, using statistical and econometric and spatial analysis, the effects are evaluated. The duration of the study period is 21 years, which includes the latest available data, from 1991 to 2011. Dynamic panel model and Stata 14 software were used for data analysis. The results of the study show that the funds spent on rural development such as electricity, rural pilot projects, rural schools and health centers have a positive and significant effect on maintaining the rural population. But the effect of credits spent on water and gas resources in maintaining the rural population has not been significant.