Explanation of effective propellants on tourism development of Damavand city with approach future study
Today the tourism industry is recognized as a prominent symbol of globalization and compression of time and space. The purpose of present research is identification of key factors and main propellants on tourism development of Damavand city for management and designing possible scenarios in future, flexible policy and planning framework to the conditions of the area. This study in terms of purpose is practical and in terms of nature is according to new methods of future study is analyticalexploratory which has been done using combination of quantitative and qualitative modles. At first, the open questionnaire was set for general extraction of effective propellants on tourism development of Damavand city among tourism experts and specialists of Damavand city in format of 7 parts and 60 factors. And then extraction of effective main factors on tourism development of city in order to conversion of indexes and variables has been used from MicMac & Scenario wizard softwares. The results showed that the 5 scenarios are in the conditions facing of tourism development of Damavand city. The weak scenarios of this research are 4111 scenarios which it seems that trust in weak scenarios is illogical and also policy and planning for those are impractical, impossible and illiogical. So, it is logical that between strong limited scenarios and wide weak scenarios, we consider compatibility scenarios 1, which according to this, the 14 reasonable and logical scenarios for provided planning and policy on this research.
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