Simulation and Prediction of Iran's Exports Using the PSO Algorithm to Achieve the Objectives of the Twenty Years Vision Document(Case Study: Comparison with Turkish Economy)

The vision of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the 1404 horizon illustrates a bright future for the country, a program that is more qualitative than a little. To achieve the objectives of the vision document, there is a need for a quantitative analysis of the indicators discussed in the document. To achieve this, economic exports as one of the major macroeconomic indicators have been simulated and predicted by Pso algorithms for Iran and Turkey. Using the bands pattern, using the four criteria of mean deviation (MSE), root mean square deviation (RMSE), absolute error percentage (MAPE) and absolute error (MAE) simulation have been performed. The results indicate that the gap between exports of  two countries has continued since 2000, with the current trend of Turkey's exports going to double the export of Iran's economy.