Strategic foresight of vulnerabilities of the tourism industry with focus on economic sanctions

Iran's confrontation with various economic sanctions has had many consequences and issues that make the need for scientific research in this field more and more clear. Paying attention to the vulnerabilities of economic sanctions, taking measures to deal with them and ways to get out of the pressure of sanctions, especially in recent years, have become increasingly important. Security and tourism are two interrelated categories. Whereas the tourism industry, as a parent industry, on the one hand, plays an important role in job creation and economic development, and on the other hand, its prosperity and development play a significant role in countering sanctions, in resilience to its negative effects, and in increasing security and passive defense, in the present study, it is tried to first identify the vulnerabilities of economic sanctions with a futuristic approach and then, considering the capabilities of the tourism industry in Iran, to provide solutions in this field. The statistical population of this study consists of experts in the tourism industry and related industries, including the hotel industry, tourism service companies, and travel agencies, which were sampled by snowball and judgment. Thematic analysis, environmental scanning and Delphi method have been used to collect data while using library studies. The results of this study, while identifying and introducing the effects and negative consequences of sanctions, have provided solutions to deal with them with a focus on the tourism industry.