isis Future Studies in Iraq and Syria

The purpose of this research is the future of ISIL research in Iraq and Syria. The present article tries to use the exploration method and data collection in the form of documents and based on the method of James Dittor scriptwriting and the method of impact analysis. Identify the influential factors influencing the formation of ISIL in Iraq and Syria, and by extracting the factors of sectarian strife, regional rivalries, and the central power of Iraq and Syria as drivers, the future scenarios of ISIL in Rewrite Iraq and Syria. Findings show that the best possible future for ISIL is to continue the current trend and the continuous growth of this trend until the complete destruction of this group, which will occur through political and religious convergence in the two internal levels of Iraq and Syria and between countries in the region. The more this convergence increases, the greater the power of the central governments in Iraq and Syria, and reinforces the scenario of the destruction of ISIS, which is a favorable scenario for Iran's national security. On the other hand, the less this convergence leads to the widening of the political and religious divide at the internal levels of Iraq and Syria and the tension, conflict or even war between the countries in the region, the anti-ISIL process will collapse and reinforce the worst-case scenario. The re-formation of ISIS is the worst case scenario for Iran's national security.