Scenarios for Iranian Recruitment and Training Teachers In 1415 Horizon

The present study was developed scenarios for recruitment and training teachers in Iran for next 15 years.
Mehtods: Recent study placed among applied and qualitative research methods and done with combination of two futures research methods; content analysis and scenario making. First, a list of driving factors was prepared from content analysis and semi-structured interviews with experts provided to be weighed according to the importance and degree of uncertainty by expert panel, Second, Selected factors placed in cross impact balanced analysis (CIB) method and global business network (GBN) scenario making so until scenarios were obtained. Participants in this study were 15 professors and principals of Farhangian University, professors of educational sciences, experts of Ministry and Council of Education, and school principals.

In order to scenario making, 9 driving factors from content analysis and interview extraction were weighted by the panel in terms of importance and uncertainty, and three factors were type of approach (national, international or integrated), ideology (quarantine or Society ideology) and technology (continuation of the current trend and rapid growth of technology) received the highest scores. Among 12 possible scenarios, four scenarios and their characteristics were extracted; aquarium environment, lake environment, river environment and ocean environment and their characteristics were extracted. 

The results of the present article shows that need to get out from the existing closed and quarantined space and pay more attention to using all the capacities of education and higher education and make more use of international achievements to improve the teacher education system. At the same time, due to the process of building a national version of teacher training, interaction and tolerance of tensions is inevitable.