Presenting the development model of the future study of knowledge management in the Islamic Azad University of Tehran province (case study: field of educational sciences)

Futurism is a systematic, interdisciplinary and comprehensive study of social and technological progress and other environmental trends, which is often aimed at investigating how people will live and work in the future. Futures research seeks to understand what is likely to happen and what can plausibly change. Therefore, part of this discipline seeks to make a systematic and pattern-based understanding of the past and present, and to explore the possibility of future events and trends.Future research seeks to use the analysis of the existing situation, identify change mechanisms and define different scenarios, to predict development and improvement in probable and possible futures. Good decisions depend entirely on introspection, today's life is very different from the past; In this changing world, old traditions no longer shape our future; Rather, we ourselves must create our own future so that we can prepare ourselves, the organization and the society against global changes. Future research has a two-way relationship with the worldview, ideology and culture of nations. Paying attention to the future and its effects in human life is important. It is one of the topics that arouses human curiosity. With the emergence of experimental and rational sciences, curiosity in the future has turned into research in the future and has brought concepts such as future research and foresight, considering that future analysis is one of the environmental issues in strategic discussions and the scientific developments of this The topic plays a role in the scientific process of these strategic topics, the purpose of the future research methodology is to explore, create and test desirable and possible futures in order to improve decisions.Knowledge management is defined as the explicit and effective management of important knowledge and its related methods in identifying and exploiting it. Knowledge management emphasizes on creating, providing, strengthening, supporting appropriate knowledge environments in the organization, motivating and empowering people to use their knowledge sharing and creating new knowledge. Knowledge can be added to the toolbox of managers, consultants and other developers of the organization so that they can use its capacities to try to improve the work situation. Therefore, the present article was carried out with the aim of presenting a model for the development of knowledge management future research in the Islamic Azad University of Tehran province (case study: field of educational sciences).

The research method was mixed or combined. In the qualitative part, 15 experts were selected based on purposeful and theoretical sampling (snowball). The validity of the research tool was confirmed through the methods proposed by Lincoln and Guba, and its reliability was confirmed through Holstein's reliability coefficient. The statistical population in the quantitative section includes all faculty members and teaching staff of the faculties of educational sciences of the Islamic Azad University of Tehran province (about 210 people) who were employed in the educational sciences faculties of the Islamic Azad University of Tehran province in the academic year of 1401-1400. Karjesi and Morgan's table estimated the number of 160 people and were selected by random sampling. The content validity of the questionnaire was confirmed by academic experts. The reliability of the questionnaire was 0.927 with Cronbach's alpha coefficient. In the qualitative analysis of the findings, a paradigm was used, and in the quantitative analysis of the data, the structural equation analysis method was used.

The results showed the development model of knowledge management future research in Islamic Azad University of Tehran province including causal conditions (software and hardware infrastructures, technical infrastructure of knowledge management and human infrastructure of information technology); Background environment or conditions (cultural platforms with a technological view of globalization of higher education, institutionalization of learning organizational culture, managers' belief in participation and collective wisdom and the establishment of meritocracy, foresight and the use of scientific tools for future research) intervening conditions (institutionalization) Social activity, the development of activities, feelings and informal interactions, the effect of political changes on university performance and international relations, the central category (effective methods of knowledge creation, knowledge sharing, knowledge application and knowledge storage), strategies. The transformation in the education system and the institutionalization of foresight in the university policy system) and the consequences (development of organizational awareness and productivity of human resources).

Based on the findings of the research, causal conditions had a significant effect on the central category, intervening factors and background conditions. A central category on strategies and results; Intervening factors on strategies; Background conditions on strategies and outcomes with strategies that include attention to conditions and requirements and self-awareness and responsibility were influenced by causal and background conditions and interactions and processes, management and policy-making factors, and mediating conditions. According to the opinions of the experts, it was found that causal conditions, i.e. organizational structure and information technology infrastructure, can affect the central category, i.e. effective methods of knowledge creation, knowledge sharing, knowledge application and knowledge storage. In other words, management factors for Formulation of policies and adoption of strategies should take into account the cultural and managerial dimensions as an organizational factor in order to take effective steps. Also, the model compiled in the current research had a suitable structure.