Turkiye’s 2023 election, evaluation of two Akparty win and loss scenarios and consequences

The parliamentary and presidential elections of Turkiye on May 14, 2023 are one of the most sensitive political contests between the parties of this country in recent decades. The Justice and Development Party or AK Party, which has been in power since 2002, is facing rivals while the economic crisis has made the living conditions difficult for tens of millions of Turkish people. Also, criticisms such as ignoring freedom of speech have been raised, and in addition, the foreign policy of Erdogan's team has led to the practical stoppage of Turkiye's membership negotiations in the European Union. Therefore, it is expected that dissatisfaction with the inefficiency of the government's economic policies and criticism of Erdogan's governance style will have a direct effect on the election results. The six important parties of Turkiye, which have a diverse mix of discourses from secular and Kemalist to Islamist and liberal, are trying to gain power by forming an alliance group called "Etalafa Mellat" and they want remove Erdogan and Baghçeli's government. The coalition of the nation has been seriously organizing and campaigning for the past year, and the victory of this trend can transform politics and governance in Turkiye. Meanwhile, in the field of foreign policy, serious changes are expected. This research seeks to examine the most important possible scenarios regarding major changes in Turkiye's domestic and foreign policy in the post-election period.