Designing a Model for the Development of Iran's Sports Tourism Industry and Explaining its Future based on Scenario Writing in the Horizon of 1420

The present study was conducted to design a model for developing Iran's sports tourism industry and explain its future based on scenario writing in the horizon of 1420.

The method is scenario-based planning, which is designed and implemented in eight steps. The method of data collection in this qualitative research included using interviews, the news panel and Delphi survey. 17 experts in the field of sports tourism industry with specialized knowledge or practical experience were selected as the members of the research group in the form of a snowball. Also, Micmac software and script wizard have been used for data analysis

The findings of this study are presented in two parts. The first part includes the identification and classification of key components, drivers, and uncertainty. The four drivers of "tourism infrastructure", "sports infrastructure", "services" and "recreation" have been identified in this section and the relationships of effectiveness and effectiveness between the components have been analyzed. The second part identifies and describes possible and compatible scenarios based on propulsions and related uncertainties.

Managers and trustees of the country's sports tourism industry are advised to improve the tourism and sports infrastructure and provide appropriate and attractive services and entertainment for the greater satisfaction of tourists.