The Dynamics of ICT Development, Financial Development and Economics Growth: Using Fuzzy Logic and Panel VECM

The study of the relationship between the development of information and communication technology(ICT), financial development and economic growth has always been the focus of researchers and policy makers and due to differences in views on the relationship between those and the diversity of modeling of studies in this field, researchs has not resulted in a single result. On the other hand, with the development of technology and the introduction of fuzzy logic, developed modeling methods and the possibility of consolidating expert opinions in an intelligent inference system based on collective wisdom to create indicators of ICT development and financial development now exists. Accordingly, in this study, after consolidating the opinions of experts in a knowledge base consisting of 414 questionnaires on the relationship between the constructive sub-indicators of financial development and ICT development, fuzzy indicators of financial development and ICT development using the Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System(MFIS) then assess the short-term and long-term causal relationships between ICT development, financial development and economic growth in the form of a panel error correction model considering the Dynamic Common Correlated Effects(DCCE) using annual provincial data during The period from 2001 to 2017 was covered. After consolidating the opinions of experts and creating fuzzy indicators, only in the short run, the positive causal relationship from ICT development to economic growth was confirmed.