Dynamic analysis of factors affecting capital management in Iran's agricultural sector

Investment in the agricultural sector has a significant role in production, employment and exports, despite the extent and potential capacities of the agricultural sector, its competitiveness is very limited. The most important goal of this research is to provide a dynamic model for investment in the country's agriculture sector, a suitable and effective scenario to improve investment in the country's agriculture sector. By using library studies and interviews of informants, the factors affecting investment in the country's agriculture sector were identified, then by determining the relationships of the research variables and extracting dynamic hypotheses, cause-effect diagrams and flow inventory were formed. Finally, the simulation of the model in Vensim software and the validity of the model was confirmed. Two scenarios were implemented and presented and reviewed until 1410. The results indicate that inflation control has an effective role in investment, through increasing investment in education, research, development and mechanization, it increases production and exports, and also, reducing the cultivation of water-intensive crops and using irrigation technology reduces water consumption. After simulating the model of the first scenario, through investment in mechanization, education and research and development, it can have a greater impact on improving investment in the country's agricultural sector.