نشریه چشم انداز شهرهای آینده
سال سوم شماره 4 (پیاپی 12، زمستان 1401)

In today's world, the urban management set of series should seek to establish sustainable incomes to improve the administration of the city environment, and this is possible in the first step by reducing unsustainable financial resources. Undoubtedly, creating income in the municipality has a great impact on providing services and comfort to citizens along with proper quality. But all the incomes are not sustainable and the unsustainability in the incomes increases the municipal costs of the region due to the disproportion of the population, the heterogeneity of the urban spaces and the uneven distribution of the population. The governing model of research is “cognitive” in terms of goal, “field and documentary-analytical” in terms of method, “temporary” in terms of time, and “quantitative-qualitative” in terms of data type. The statistical population of the research includes experts in the field of urban management and urban economy. The research tool is the Cross Impact Analysis questionnaire, which has been given to experts as drivers. Micmac and Scenario Wizard softwares have been used to determine key factors and desired scenarios, respectively. The validity of the questionnaire has been confirmed by evaluating it through university professors, and its reliability is completely utility based on the indicators and with two stages of data rotation. The findings of the research show that five indicators 1) green economy, 2) urban tourism, 3) foreign investment, 4) optimization in the field of technology and 5) development of cultural spaces and industries are key factors and among them, factors 2, 3 and 5 have the highest compatibility in sustainable income creation for the municipality of Region 22.

Today, the need to examine the future in the framework of future research models and with a strategic planning approach is critical. In terms of the present article's purpose and the descriptive-analytical research method, it is in line to identify and analyze the explanatory drivers of strategic planning in Isfahan. Targeted documentary and Delphi methods were used to identify conceptual indicators. The sample size is experts and specialists related to the research topic (30 people), who were selected from among 100 experts, city managers, and university professors (statistical community). The current research has analyzed the strategic planning components of Isfahan city by using the cross-effects analysis technique, one of the standard and accepted forecasting methods, and the Micmac program. For this purpose, all the factors involved in strategic planning were analyzed and investigated by studying the documents using the Delphi method;39 components in 4 areas (physical, cultural-social, institutional-management, structural-process) were used as indicators. Strategic planning methods were extracted. Among the 39 mentioned factors, after examining how and how much these factors affect each other on the future state of Isfahan city with direct and indirect methods, ten key factors play the most role in the future state of strategic planning of Isfahan metropolis were chosen. The results show that the evaluation and application of strategic planning in the city of Isfahan requires a comprehensive and multifaceted view because The realization of strategic planning in this city is related to the solid structural connection between these drivers.

Despite the importance of historical textures, all kinds of financial, managerial, and physical problems have prevented the development of these textures. Considering the importance of this position, the main goal of this research is to identify the challenges of managing, and creating valuable historical urban contexts in the metropolis of the Tabriz. The nature of this research is applied and descriptive, and analytical. The statistical population of this research included households living in District 8 of the Tabriz Municipality and 20 urban experts. Using Cronbach's alpha methods and simple random methods at the household level, 367 people were selected as the sample size. The MicMac software was used to analyze the research findings and the statistical test of linear regression in a step-by-step method. The results of the research showed that the lack of urban infrastructure including green spaces, the location of historical contexts within the city and traffic problems, the challenges of crisis management within the historical context, and the high density of construction within these contexts and The difficulty of vehicle traffic with the values of 1362, 801, 769 and 865 are the key components (challenges) in the field of managing the development of the valuable fabric of the Tabriz city in the 8th urban area. Also, the findings of the research using a step-by-step linear regression test showed that the key components of the management of the valuable tissue include adopting an integrated approach to the management and development of the valuable urban tissue, coordinating the actions of other executive bodies through a comprehensive approach, the ability of managers' knowledge. A city related to local management and relying on local components of valuable historical context management. Finally, the most critical solution to solving the challenge of managing the development of historical structures is to pay attention to all the managerial, financial, social, and physical-infrastructural aspects simultaneously.

Future research studies are necessary in the present time more than ever for communities in order to achieve a risk reduction program and improve the resilience of settlements. The aim of this research is to analyze the combined indices of flood resilience of Tehran metropolis with a future research approach. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of nature and method. The statistical population includes experts familiar with urban issues at the level of Tehran metropolis. The sample size was obtained by the snowball sampling method of 88 people, and Mic Mac software was used for data analysis. The findings of the research show that the variables of institutional independence, governance, institutional relations, institutional context and education level have the highest influence ratings and the variables of residents' ownership, housing prices, quality of alleys and roads, plot area, number of people covered by insurance and building density have the highest overall influence ratings. Regarding the five dimensions of research, the influence ranks belong to social, institutional, physical, economic and environmental dimensions respectively. In general, among the 31 variables examined in this research, 13 variables of education level, literacy rate, active population, institutional framework, institutional relations, institution performance, governance, institution independence, population density, urbanization percentage, employment rate, migration and income level have been selected as key variables affecting urban resilience. Any planning for the resilience of Tehran metropolis should consider the key role of the mentioned factors. These variables have high influence and low dependence in increasing the resilience of Tehran metropolis and are considered the first priority in making Tehran metropolis resilient.

Housing construction policies in the country after the Islamic revolution and during the last two decades have faced many challenges and have not been very successful. The severe reduction in housing construction and delivery delays are major challenges in the field of housing construction policies in Iran. Due to the intensive increase in the price of land, materials, inflation, etc, the construction market has been facing increasing stagnation for the past decade, which reflects the housing policy of Mehr housing and then the national housing action plan is raised to continue it and eliminate the existing weaknesses. The research method is descriptive-analytical and its purpose is to analyz the future challenges in Mehr housing policies and the national housing action plan for Pardis new-town which located in Tehran province. The selection of criteria and indicators and their finalization was done by asking experts and based on the Delphi technique, and a questionnaire was prepared as a research tool and given to 35 experts in the field of housing. The validity of the questionnaire has been confirmed by relevant experts and its reliability using Cronbach's alpha test. Structural equation modeling and SMART-PLS software were used to analyze the obtained data. The research results show that all the intended indicators are considered as acute issues, sensitive weaknesses and harmful challenges in the future and according to the processes based on the relationships between variables, the physical criterion with the importance of 0.268, the economic criterion with the importance of 0.262, The social criterion with the importance of 0.248 and the management criterion with the importance of 0.205 respectively are the most challenging future components in the Mehr housing policies and the national action plan for Pardis new-town.