نشریه چشم انداز شهرهای آینده
پیاپی 4 (زمستان 1399)

An emerging disease epidemic will affect the structure, planning, architecture, development, social behavior, economic activity, and management of cities and the world, and the persistence of coronary heart disease will have its own changes. Fundamental change in human biology will be effective in various dimensions, especially biological habitats and physical spaces, according to the history of infectious diseases in the world, especially cholera, plague, SARS, Ebola ... and theories such as space distribution. Thortsen Hogstrand and the Theory of Complexity and Chaos: Urban Systems; It is important to review the current situation considering the level of spread and spread of COVID-19 virus and its various effects on the biological geography of the country. In the present paper, based on conventional theories of medical geography and spatial effects of disease spread, as well as physical / structural physical effects in urban spaces and damages, and explaining futuristic approaches to analyzing the structure of urban structure and corona virus in Zabol and Assaluyeh The territorial geography of the country has been studied, which is the basis for examining borderline, industrialization, differences in migration, and the type of urban activities. In the end, while presenting analytical results to present different management approaches, especially community-based management approach to overcome the crisis and development behavior and activities (city and electronic and intelligent citizen) and management in the continuation of corona crisis management in society.

In any study, and consequently in urban landscape studies, the lack of attention to concepts and the non-impairment of their various aspects can lead to incorrect interpretations. What is certain is that the emphasis on any philosophical thought can lead to confusion in space studies. But in the meanwhile, it is necessary for every science and, consequently, any study in the field of space, to choose its own philosophy depending on its own philosophical domain. Space as part of the environment can affect behavior and has a controlling role in behavior. It means weakening behaviors and encouraging behaviors. In the case of activities, space can only provide the possibility or impossibility of an activity. Therefore, the effect of space on the behavior is much more direct and definitive. So, in researches that examine the urban landscape from the point of view of its imagablaty, it is a space that is primarily concerned with the relational -perceptual space of citizens in the city. Although other forms of space are involved, such as the primitive space that is the prerequisite of perceptual space, or the existential space-geography that is related to the needs and experiences of citizens, or the architectural and planning space that represents the thought and practice of representation Interconnects, and at the end of the cognitive and abstract space that acts as the basis for these spaces. What is certain is that one cannot just look at a category from a dimension and should consider different dimensions and aspects in any study.

Futurology as an interdisciplinary field has experienced rapid and growing expansion in spatial, temporal, philosophical and methodological paradigms. Although the basis of modern futurism is in the history of Western futurism, thinking about the future is not new; This category is a universal phenomenon that can be traced back to prehistoric times. In all known human societies, people have ideas about time and the future, these perceptions, although seemingly different, have different emphasis on the past and the future and are at different levels in terms of detail.However, the existence of such ideas in all human societies is an undeniable fact. Therefore, this article deals with the issue with the approach of historical-genealogical analysis and while explaining the concept of futurology and its philosophical paradigms, intellectual traditions, historical periodization of futures studies and methodology have been examined.

Social vulnerability is the creation of structural relationships between groups and forces of society against various pressures of nature and decisions and the capacity of society to respond and react to environmental hazards. Attracting immigrants with different geographical origins is one of the most important factors affecting the diversity of social structure and intensifying the sense of place in the city of Karaj. Research shows that in some areas of Karaj, such as Hesarak neighborhood (districts 5 and 6), due to the physical structure, especially the economic, social, cultural and marginal characteristics of residents, the opportunity for social harm is higher compared to other parts of the city. Due to the importance of this issue, the present study seeks to provide a model for social vulnerability indicators of this neighborhood to determine the pattern of these indicators and the impact of each of them on the satisfaction or dissatisfaction of residents of the neighborhood. The research method was analytical-exploratory in nature and the total population of households in the 5th and 6th districts of Karaj and the sample size were calculated using the Cochran's formula of 350 people.The research data were collected randomly from the study area through a query technique and using artificial neural network and infusion inference system to intelligent modeling (rule base) and tree regression model to estimate the factors affecting vulnerability. paid. The proposed model in this research is significant from several dimensions; The first result is the presentation of a methodology in this field that has been done with special architecture and the use of computational intelligence and environmental assessment knowledge base, and the second result is the creation of a knowledge base based on a set of criteria that can be intelligently Pay attention to the environmental conditions to assess the situation of the region as well as similar cases.

Urban viability which ultimately leads to sustainable urban development, in recent years it has devoted a great deal of urban studies. This category offers solutions to urban crisis that lead cities to sustainability. Based on this study in terms of purpose is applied and in terms of nature and method, its descriptive analytical research. The method of collecting data and information in this research is in both documentary and survey method. In firs step the obtained data assessment by SPSS software and then by using of T -Test examination status of each of the components for the Ardabil city was evaluated and assessment by using of Amos structural equation model.  The obtained results show a significant relationship between under review components (social dimensions of Urban viability) in the city of Ardabil and modeling tests and structural equation fitness in Amos environment showed that all research computational tests shows similarity with structural equation fitness tests standard (RMR with 0.96, GFI with 0.97, AGFI with 0.648 and NFI with 0.737) and this confirms the significance of the components and the fit of the model.

Strategic urban development planning is a new approach in urban planning and management that relies on the principles of sustainable urban development to draw a vision, formulate development goals, comprehensive and systematic confrontation with the basic issues of the city. One of the strategies to achieve urban development is the sustainable regeneration of worn-out urban structures. In this research, the strategic planning framework has been used as an appropriate method. The present study has been compiled with the aim of developing sustainable regeneration strategies in Kermanshah. This research is of applied type and its research method has been descriptive-analytical and survey. In strategic planning, there are several models to achieve sustainable urban development, such as Bryson, David, Dixon, Golkar, etc. In this study, using these models, the strategic planning process to recreate the worn-out tissues of Kermanshah. In order to analyze the SWOT table and score the internal and external factors of the environment, surveys and interviews were conducted with 15 experts and the strategies were prioritized using the QSPM model. The results obtained according to the output of the model showed that the "conservative strategy" in the strategic planning of sustainable urban regeneration has been highly attractive. Prioritization of sustainable urban regeneration strategies in dilapidated areas of Kermanshah based on the opinion of experts in the QSPM matrix, integrated and unified urban management, participatory planning, special emphasis on internal and intermediate urban development, incentive packages, support and facilities And exemptions, emphasis on neighborhood-based planning, promotion of citizenschr('39') social and economic capabilities, especially vulnerable groups, education, discourse-building, information and cultural-promotional activities; Capacity building and institutionalization of civil society are among the priority strategies in sustainable urban regeneration in the dilapidated structures of Kermanshah.