fuzzy delphi

This study aims to synthesize and explain the interactive relationship between knowledge management and strategic foresight in knowledge-based organizations and technology-driven companies. Using the fuzzy Delphi method, the study examines the role of these concepts in enhancing strategic processes. This applied-developmental research follows a mixed-method approach. In the qualitative phase, a meta-synthesis of studies from the past decade was conducted, while in the quantitative phase, the fuzzy Delphi method was employed to gather expert opinions from 23 specialists. After two rounds of the Delphi process, 17 key themes were confirmed out of 39 initial themes. The study reveals that the relationship between knowledge management and strategic foresight can be defined through concepts such as future trend forecasting, innovation, knowledge management and sharing, responsiveness to challenges, long-term strategy formulation, risk management, scenario simulation, and sustainable competitive advantage development. The results indicate that the interaction between knowledge management and strategic foresight enhances the capacity of knowledge-based organizations to analyze future trends, make intelligent decisions, and respond effectively to environmental changes. This interaction also fosters innovation and establishes a sustainable competitive advantage. This study explores the interplay between two key concepts in knowledge-based organizations, providing insights that can improve strategic processes and help organizations prepare for future challenges.

Foreign policy is the use of political influence to persuade other countries to exercise their legislative power in the manner desired by the respective government. Geopolitics is a branch of geography and political science that deals with the planning of a country's security policy based on geographical factors. By analyzing these factors, geopolitics assesses the existing spheres of power and tries to relate a country's policy to them. Therefore, knowing these factors is essential in explaining the foreign policy of a country. In this article, with the analytical-descriptive method and the fuzzy Delphi technique, 11 academic and political elites have been selected in a snowball method to identify the fundamental geopolitical variables effective in foreign policy. The results of this research indicate that the geopolitical components affecting foreign policy are classified into two main categories, tangible and intangible. The tangible indicators are: (1) geographical location (2) population and manpower (3) natural resources (4) industrial and agricultural production capacity (5) military power. Intangible indicators are: (1) political, economic and social structure (2) educational and technical level (3) national spirit (4) international strategic position. Therefore, as long as there is politics in the world, geopolitics will remain an important consideration and influence in foreign policy.

The housing (local) tax in the big cities, especially in the last decades has affecting the price and supply of housing in Iran.This research aims to examine the effective indicators of municipal (local) taxes on housing supply from the perspective of experts active in the field of housing in Tabriz metropolis.In order to identify indicators, interviews with construction and housing experts were used. After extracting the indicators, a questionnaire based on the fuzzy Delphi approach was designed and provided to the experts.The final sample consisted of 14 professors and activists in the field of construction with at least 5 years of work experience in the field of construction and housing. Based on the investigation, 114 primary indicators were extracted and after three stages of fuzzy Delphi were implemented and the consensus of the experts was reached, 68 final indicators were identified as indicators of municipal variables affecting housing supply. According to the obtained results, experts believe that, despite the fact that the increase in (local) taxes has led to an increase in the municipality's revenue, on the other hand, factors such as increase in expenses, rent seeking and bribery, municipal expenses has increased the municipality revenue management inefficiencyAlso, complex administrative bureaucracies, lack of transparency in the amount of tolls (local tax) and related costs, concentration in specific city districts, weakness of urban culture and urban expansion, lack of accurate use of dilapidated structures, all of them are indicators of municipal (local) tax affecting price changes and housing supply.

Religious tourism is one of the most prosperous and diverse types of tourism in the world. And according to the cultural-religious situations, the accessibility of this type of tourism in Iran sets the stage for growth and development among Islamic countries and the world. This research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of descriptive-survey execution method and correlational type, which was carried out by mixed exploratory method. In the qualitative phase, the research team consists of 30 experts and university professors who have been selected using a targeted method and snowball technique. Also, in the quantitative stage, the statistical population consists of tourism experts , whose number is 2948 people, and 341 people were selected by simple random sampling to determine the sample size based on the Karjesi and Morgan table. The tools of data collection are interviews, documents and questionnaires, and the fuzzy Delphi method was used to identify and rank the dimensions and components. Also, the exploratory factor analysis method was used to fit the model. Based on the data analysis, the research findings showed. Ten main dimensions: accommodation, transportation, visiting centers, reception centers, stores, environment and energy, travel agencies and tours, security and safety, management and economy, information and communication, are the most important factors affecting the supply chain in Iran's religious tourism industry.

Spatial inequality is considered one of the biggest challenges in both developing and developed countries, and a major obstacle for most governments to achieve sustainable development indicators. Therefore, investigating and analyzing the levels of spatial inequality as well as the influencing factors on its formation and expansion are considered essential for planning and managing cities. This research was conducted with the aim of measuring the spatial inequalities in Ardabil city with emphasis on economic indicators and identifying factors affecting its expansion. Based on the characteristics, spatial statistical models, hot spot analysis and spatial autocorrelation were used in Arc/GIS software, as well as fuzzy Delphi technique. Based on the results of the research, the urban areas of Ardabil are in different ranges in terms of the investigated indicators. Moreover, based on the spatial autocorrelation model (Moran), the distribution pattern of spatial inequality based on economic indicators in Ardabil follows the cluster model, and this type of distribution has caused spatial duality in this city.

The purpose of this study is to determine policies to promote public trust in Iranian government agencies. In this paper, fuzzy Delphi method is used for group decision making and fuzzy theory is used to model linguistic variables and uncertainties in experts' theories. The Iranian government has been extracted. Is. The purpose of exploratory research and research method is fuzzy Delphi. The data collection tool was a questionnaire that was done using snowball sampling method with the participation of 24 experts. Findings showed that to promote public trust in government organizations and institutions in the four main areas of public services, accountability, transparency and justice; Macro-policies need to be formulated. For example, quality public services along with accountability is one of the most important government policies in increasing citizen satisfaction and thus promoting public trust. The model of promoting public trust in government organizations was designed in four components and 25 indicators and has been presented as a model for policy making to Iranian government organizations .

In today's world, due to the increasing use of technology and the decrease of criteria, disorders and semantic holes in social life, residential complexes in large cities lack the spirit and sense of place, this study aims to identify the importance of the effect of each factor. Environment is effective on the sense of place in residential complexes of Ahvaz according to two types of design approaches. The research method is descriptive-analytical and screening. For this purpose, by document analysis and library studies of articles and books, environmental factors affecting the sense of place were extracted and then a questionnaire to assess the share of each component in terms of residents and screening in Environmental factors affecting the sense of location of New Side and Jundishapur residential complex were performed and fuzzy Delphi technique and MATLAB software were used. The results show that in urban furniture, lighting with a value of 0.77 and a degree of H membership has the highest and trash with a value of 0.21 and a degree of VL membership has the lowest and can be removed. In rigid elements of spaces, the elements with the value of 0.89 and the degree of VH membership are the highest. In natural spaces, the waterfall has a value of 0.85 and a degree of VH membership. In the walls, the panels with the value of 0.87 and the degree of VH membership and the doors with the value of 0.37 and the degree of membership L are the lowest. In the landscape, the natural landscape is the lowest with a value of 0.88 and the degree of VH membership and the skyline is the lowest with a value of 0.21 and the degree of VL membership. From urban furniture, trash cans are from VL category, from the floor, slope of the ground is in L category, from natural space, tree is in L category, from walls are from doors category L, visual platforms are from VL category. In terms of depth of vision and weaknesses of the L category, the sky line is of the VL category and the quality of the color space is of the L category and can be removed.

In the metropolis of Tehran, municipal waste recycling management with produce more than 6500 tonnes per day, consisting of 42% of dry waste, is important. One of the centers pertaining to waste separation is recycling booth. An attempt is made in the present article to use the view points of the concerned experts with the aim of the modeling the criterions affecting the location of recycling booth through effectiveness and usefulness approach. The method used in the article is analytical -descriptive. Due to the spatial characteristic of locating process, and the Inherent uncertainty of urban issues, in order to determine the parameters affecting the location of recycling booth Fuzzy Delphi method, and to calculate weight of criteria, the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process is used. The results indicate that five main criteria and 16 sub-criteria are considered as prominent characteristic, such criteria like “centrality”, “efficiency and overlap”, “native characteristics and factors”, “adoptability”, “inadaptability”, and sub-criteria like “population density”, “accessibility”, “economic Potential of the booth”, “public participation” and “lack of neighborhood with military and security centers” are considered as the first to fifth priorities of components effective in the model of locating recycling booth in Tehran city.

Contrary to the previous definitions and the widely used of the Internet and electronic devices, we are now faced with the electronic lifestyle. This study aims to identify the e-lifestyle types among Iranian citizens which were done in two steps. In the first step, the influential components of the Iranian e-lifestyle were identified by reviewing related literature and surveying 25 experts using the fuzzy Delphi method. Fuzzy Delphi cycles were carried out in two rounds which resulted in the identification of 13 components. In the second step, a questionnaire was designed using the experts' opinions and previously reported literature and distributed among the 970 samples selected using multi-stage cluster-spatial sampling. Factor analysis was used to determine the number of clusters that resulted in five clusters. Clustering was used to identify e-lifestyles and the characteristics of these five lifestyles were identified. These clusters were named for their behavior as Interactive, Negativisms, Pioneers, Requisiteness Oriented, and Self-indulgent.

Introduction Today transport in cities is associated with all aspects of life. Leisure، education، business، industry، and other aspects، all linked together and continue the cycle of life in citieshaving forced the network and transport system to be sustainable. However، it has been more than a decade that the transport is being used urban communities، today the situation is not sustainable. This instability in Overuse of energy and fuel in the first place، then reduce resourceand ultimately the increase in global air pollution even her shown. Such a negative outlook on the transportation system and its impact on the social dimensions of environmental، economic and quality of life in cities، especially in developing countriesandus more will show in the country. Due to These issues، one of the primary and originally ways understanding of sustainability inurban transport to our countryunderstanding of the scope and the level of sustainability each of priorityMigration to the terms and conditions of the sustainable problems in the field of urban transport will be. 2-Theoretical Basis As the Stockholm Conference Brantdlnd statement to define sustainable development under the three main developmentseconomic، social and human development، and health and ecological environment has been expressed، these three areas of sustainable transport will be supported and the process does not compromise stability. Indeed،Sustainable transport that is actually uplifting sense of social justice and security، safety and sustainable access، economic dynamism in the management and use of the additional costs imposed by the traditional process،And environmental health by reducing or eliminating emissions، using renewable resources and supporting green transportation will be. Urban transportation primarily toward nature and the environment and is consistent with environmental changes. This Industrial Revolution in England and especially during the mid-nineteenth century has been continuing since the creation of millions of cities and towns to grant the title industrychanges in transportation policies and more complex. After years of being a modernist approach to urban transport and urban design and discussion of human communicationat the same time took on more complicated scale. In this period، providing physical and economic aspects of transportation network planning and designwas considered،no comments from citizens regarding environmental measures taken or to be. From the 1970s onwards، with the introduction of the concept of sustainable development and sustainable in all component areasfrom which the human encroachment has evolved through the environment، One of These areas of transportation، especially in the cities. The transformational in the management of technological measures used،Environmental planning and land use، economic mobility support and traffic management، and prevention of emissions،The health of the environment and communities threatenedwas priority. 3- Discussion In the present study selected three indicators of sustainable economic، social and environmental studies reference resources related to research studiesas indicators of inclusive discussions on sustainable urban transport sub-indicators of 30،the vision was to index the context of urban transport professionals to identify. In These regard، initially in the form of a questionnaire and a paired comparison analysis in hierarchical fuzzy Delphi،Selected indicators of selected experts were asked to discuss the situation in urban transport their weight. After this stage، the effects of these parameters on the sustainable of urban transport were evaluated. These are also important to estimate the regression model to explore the relationship and impact indicators were used in the process of sustainable urban transport. 4- Results This study looks at functional of descriptive and analytical methodology for the selection of the three indicators of economic sustainability، social sustainable and environmental stabilityas effective indicators to assess the sustainable of urban transport to our country،tried to determine the priority of each of the two selected indicatorsand the impact indicators urban transport in the country''s sustainable is tested. In These regard، the expert opinions were used to collect research data،And the results of two Delphi fuzzy analytic hierarchy model for the purpose indicators setting priorities was used. The results showed that the highest priority for the payment of the indicators of economic sustainable to the topicIn the field of urban transport. 5- Suggestion According to the objectives and results، research proposals in line with the trend towards sustainable urban transport in the fieldwith proper understanding of These scope and priority indicators and components involved in making the economic indicators in These field