An analysis of the Interaction of Effective operators in Syrian National Security: a Fuzzy Cognitive Map Road

To describe Fuzzy cognitive Map (FCM) as a facilitator of system decisionmakings and analyses, this study addresses its application in security threats against states’ sovereignty, in particular that of Syria. Such threats against Syria, one of the key players in the region and the Islamic resistance battle front, are of crucial strategic significance. This study, in fact, simulates the interaction of effective operators in Syrian security threats, resistance and authority, which causes disorder and violence in various administrative cycles in an atmosphere of confrontation and seditiousness of the western world led by the U.S.A and Zionist regime. A study like this deemed unavoidable and a determining requirement aiming to aid the leaders, politicians and authorities active in the field of defensive security among the independent states, specially within the defensive- security process of the resistance field. Those common decisions which could be made so easily in the past have now changed into multi-dimensional equations covering all areas of human security ranging from security to economy and culture. given the ambiguities and multiple variables involved, application of mathematical approaches and professional systems such as FCM could appear as an innovation to make the dull atmosphere transparent. That was why this study attempted to first describe the FCM methodology and second defect the parameters intensifying Syrian dilemma and then approach the latter through the former. To do so, certain possible scenarios leading to the respective consequences and the variables intensifying Syrian dilemma are forecast in which the variables are investigated based on panel of experts in a descriptive- field research design employing an FCM framework.