Presenting a Dynamic Model for Foreign Historical Tourism Development (Case Study: Yazd Province)

Yazd provision due to the historical and cultural attractions has unknown and well-known capacities in historical tourism. The purpose of this study is to present a dynamic model of historical foreign tourism development factors in Yazd. After a literature review, the most important factors affecting historical tourism were determined and a model of the interconnections between the factors was developed and simulated under System Dynamics approach. This study presents a dynamic model of historical tourism development factors. How to attract more visitors will continue to be a challenge for years to come, and consequently the long-term satisfaction of visitors has become a key issue. The model shows the variables trends, casual loops and sensitivity analysis. The problem of visitor's arrival is dynamic and complicated involving the interaction of many factors such as governmental policies, service quality, population and transportation system. The results of this study indicates that education, hotels situations and being aware of foreign tourists requirements are essential factors affecting foreign historical tourists arrival at Yazd Province.