Estimation of Risk and Uncertainty in the Iran's Labor Market

Occupational concern is one of the most important problems that ever exists. Iran's economy has always faced fluctuations in unemployment and employment rates. In recent years, labor market uncertainty has increased. The main reasons for this increase are as follows: Changes in the structure of the economy, the entry of the 60s into the labor market, Reduce labor demand and intensify the recession, this study measured the uncertainty and occupational risk of various categories of sex and geography in the period 1384-1393 using time series data from the labor market. According to the results, labor market uncertainty has been at a low level for most of the categories. In such a way, the certainty of the labor market in the period of 1384-1389 was descending but then increasing. In addition, in recent years urban and rural women have had higher levels of uncertainty than men and women in the Iran. Also, job uncertainty in villages has been more than cities. The study of job insecurity in Iranian provinces also shows that men in the provinces of East Azarbaijan, Golestan and Hormozgan and women in the provinces of East Azarbaijan, Khorasan Razavi and Guilan have the highest level of job uncertainty compared to other provinces.