Projection of Housing Price by Impact Analysis Method (TIA), Case Study:Tabriz

It is important to know and understand the future and the unknowns that come to the forefront of human beings and human societies. In fact, the future of the study gives people the opportunity to take a step before stepping up to be sure of planning in different areas. Due to the essential and vital nature of housing to continue living and the importance of providing it for all people and increasing demand for it, hence the prediction of housing prices in urban areas is of great importance. In this research, it has been tried to extract the key factors (drivers) affecting the future of housing prices by elite people and experts, and then the effects of each of the drivers on the future trend of housing prices, in the face of uncertainties and non-issues Plan not to be surprised. In this paper, the statistical data on housing prices (average land prices) in Tabriz during 2000-2014 were used and the effect analysis method has been used to predict housing prices. This technique, by applying the effects of qualitative techniques, predicts the results from quantitative techniques, attempts to match more predictive outcomes with reality. Data related to housing prices are in terms of volume, applicability in numerical methods, such as time series and trend lines. Using these two advantages, analysis of the impact on the process the title of a suitable model for forecasting, estimation of housing prices in Tabriz city was proposed and implemented. The results indicate that the prediction of housing prices by the impact analysis method has a high ability to predict (average housing price).