Prioritization energy types in Iran with the aim of increasing energy security in the 1404 horizon (using hierarchical analysis method)

Message:
Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

Aim & Backgrand: This study was conducted to evaluate and prioritize different types of energy in Iran including oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear energy, renewable energy, hydroelectric power and biomass.
Materials and Methods
Most of the energy consumption in Iran is related to seven types. These different types of energy are different in terms of the four-dimensional concepts of energy, including availability (6 components), Accessibility (4 components), Affordability (5 components), and acceptability (3 components) of a different level of security. Therefore, in this paper, using the hierarchical analysis method and Topsis decision technique, we aimed to evaluate the types of energy available in Iran with the aim of increasing energy security and according to the mentioned criteria and prioritize them.
Findings
Twenty certified experts compared the seven types of energy in terms of quadratic criteria (18 sub-criteria) and identified their preferences. To evaluate each option, each scale was used from scale 1 to 9 (bipolar scale). After forming the decision matrix, a six-step process of topical technique prioritized the types of energy used in Iran.
Conclusion
The results show that due to its close proximity to the positive criteria and the distance from the negative criteria at the same time, natural gas is identified as the most suitable type of energy for ensuring energy security (Ci=0.69125), And renewable energy (Ci = 0.67354) and nuclear energy (Ci = 0.62853) In the second and third priorities.
Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal Strategic Studies of Public Policy, Volume:8 Issue: 29, 2019
Pages:
135 to 157
https://www.magiran.com/p1944694  
سامانه نویسندگان
  • Ijabi، Ebrahim
    Corresponding Author (1)
    Ijabi, Ebrahim
    (1398) دکتری آینده پژوهی، دانشگاه بین المللی امام خمینی (ره)
  • Shirvani Naghani، Moslem
    Author (3)
    Shirvani Naghani, Moslem
    Assistant Professor Department of Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, قزوین, Iran
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