Identifying and developing an Environmental Scaninig model for the strategic foresight of Iranian sports using the STEEPELD model and Determining Driver Forces

Message:
Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:
Purpose

traditional approaches to strategic planning in the face of confusion, uncertainty and environmental uncertainty are not flexible and do not have the appropriate response. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to identify and develop an environmental model affecting the strategic foresight of Iranian sports based on the STEEPELD model and to determine the key drivers. In fact, this study seeks to determine which Driver Forces can be effective in achieving the desired future of Iranian sports.

Method

The present research is applied in terms of purpose, in terms of qualitative nature and in terms of implementation path in futuristic research, environmental scanning and survey. The statistical population was faculty members of sports management with associate degree and higher, who were selected by combined sampling. A 61-item questionnaire was designed to regulate environmental factors, which confirmed the convergent validity (0.622) and its composite reliability coefficient (0.868). The statistical methods used include: descriptive statistics, structural equation modeling (PLS) and Friedman ranking.

Findings

The results showed that the research model with GOF = 0.745 is approved by experts. Also, international trade, integration in sports management, development of sports philosophy, increase of sports standard per capita, increase of social capital, environmental policies, expansion of mass media and development of legal regulations as key drivers of effective strategic future of sports Iran were identified

Conclusion

Therefore, the model developed in this study can be effective as a guide in predicting the future of sports organizations.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Iran Futures Studies, Volume:6 Issue: 1, 2021
Pages:
233 to 263
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