Futurism the Position of Urban Management in Business Development and Small Urban Businesses: Case Study of Small Manufacturing Businesses and Technical Services in Tehran

In today's urban economy, small businesses have found a significant place. The nature and scale of the activities of this type of business cause different reactions to macro-external factors, so that some destructive forces for large businesses may lead to the growth and prosperity of small businesses or vice versa. Thus, urban management can act not as a directly influential force, but as a facilitator. In this study, by studying the macro-political, economic, social, technological, environmental and legal forces, the current situation and the type of influence of these forces are analyzed generally by PESTEL method. Then, using the TAIDA futurology method, the causal relationships between the existing trends and the main uncertainties are determined. The results of the studies show that the existence of economic sanctions and the multiplicity of laws are uncertainties, and future research scenarios can be presented. Accordingly, since the most likely future will be the resistive economy approach. As a result, eight strategies related to facilitator urban management can be presented that are sustainable in all scenarios. These include the realization of integrated management, creation of a support fund, support the domestic production, creation the business clusters at different levels, support the entrepreneurs, development of knowledge concepts and knowledge-based economics in relation to small businesses, development of infrastructure, technologies, production equipment and technical services in Tehran and supporting the development of clean technologies in polluting units.