Futurism of addiction among young people with a layered causal analysis approach

One of the main concerns of youth planners, officials and families is the tendency of young people to turn to drugs. Accordingly, the present study aims to investigate the social factors affecting the tendency to addiction among young people with a layered causal analysis (CLA) approach as a method of futures research and using the collective opinions of university experts and addiction specialists, while identifying The current state of addiction adds depth to the analysis and its barriers and challenges, and identifies the issue of addiction among young people and provides strategies and mechanisms for transition.

This research has been done in terms of exploratory purpose and using qualitative method as well as data collection through in-depth interviews. The statistical population of this study is university professors and addiction specialists, including welfare counselors and camp managers who have a university education or a history of research or practical activities in the field of addiction; In total, the interviews with the twelfth person were saturated and continued until the twelfth person.

In this article, using causal layer analysis to split the different layers that affect the issue of drug addiction in young people, different scenarios for the future are considered. In this regard, based on the analysis of the lower layers and according to the degree of uncertainty and importance, the two drivers of "socio-cultural factors" and "psychological factors" were identified and based on them, the desired scenarios were designed.

Paying attention to cultural and social affairs and treatment strategies and using scientific and academic research should be useful in preventing youth addiction.