Iran's social capital foresight in the horizon of 2031 using structural analysis method

Social capital encompasses concepts such as participation, trust, and cooperation among members of a group or society. Understanding social capital correctly can contribute to societal progress, development, and enhanced social, economic, and political performance and efficiency. Rulers and policymakers have long been concerned with the development and governance of social capital. This article aims to identify the key factors influencing the future of social capital and examine their mutual effects, considering a horizon of 2031 through a structural analysis approach. The research is applied in nature, employing reliable sources, document review, and field methods (questionnaires and expert panels) as complementary techniques. Participants were a group of experts chosen purposively based on their analytical assistance potential for the research objectives. Nineteen experts were involved in the study through conscious selection. The results suggest an uncertain future for Iran's social capital, emphasizing the need for governors and policymakers to focus on identifying and managing strategic and critical components related to this issue. The research analyzes nine significant factors influencing the future of social capital and provides recommendations for its maintenance and improvement.