Obviousization and estimation of climate change in the coming years of Iran

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (بدون رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

The purpose of this research is to estimate and evaluate the future climate change of Iran using climatic elements (minimum temperature, maximum temperature and precipitation) until the year 2100 in Iran. For this purpose, in the current research, the innovative method and tools of the algorithm and coding and NASA data to evaluate and predict the aforementioned climate elements based on two intermediate scenario (RCP 4.5) and worst-case scenario (RCP 8.5) of the Canadian CanESM2 model from the system Google Earth Engine was used under the web. In order to better analyze, investigate and compare Iran's future climate changes, the studied period of 80 years, was divided into the first 40-year period (2021-2060) and the second 40-year period (2061-2100). The results of the current research based on the intermediate scenario (RCP 4.5) indicate that the minimum and maximum; minimum temperature of the second 40-year period compared to the first 40-year period is 2.69 and 0.62 degrees Celsius, respectively, and the minimum and maximum; maximum temperature The second 40-year period compared to the first 40-year period was 3.37 and 0.91 degrees Celsius respectively; Also, based on the worst-case scenario (RCP 8.5), the minimum and maximum; minimum temperature of the second 40-year period compared to the first 40-year period is 0.54 and 3.32 degrees Celsius, respectively, and the minimum and maximum; maximum temperature of the second 40-year period compared to the period An increasing trend was predicted for the first 40 years of 2.47 and 3.46 degrees Celsius respectively. Based on the results obtained from the present research, in the studied area, the frequency of rainfall decreases in the first 40-year period and increases in the second 40-year period.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Environmental Science Studies, Volume:8 Issue: 4, 2024
Pages:
7243 to 7263
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