Identification of Key Effective Drivers the Sustainable Development of Shahr-e Babak Rural System with a Futures studies Approach

This research, with a futures research approach, identifies the most important factors affecting the future status of sustainable development of Shahr-e Babak rural system and examines the extent and how these factors affect each other. The present research is applied in terms of developmental purpose and in terms of method a combination of documentary-survey methods and in terms of nature, it is based on futures research, analytical and exploratory methods which have been done by using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of the research, MickMac structural analysis method and Delphi technique have been used. In this regard, after holding initial discussion sessions with twenty experts in the field of rural and regional planning in Shahr-e Babak, as the statistical population of the study, fifty primary variables were identified in the form of six general dimensions. Next, the primary factors were defined in terms of cross-matrix effects in Mick Mac prospect software. What can be understood from the status of the factor scattering plane is the scattering pattern of the effective variables indicating the instability of the. Due to the high score of direct and indirect impact, 15 key factors affect the sustainable development of Shahrbabak system. Important key factors in the physical dimension; Distance of the village from the main city, creation of infrastructure, development of regional transportation network, in the managerial dimension; Increasing trust, systemic belief and program-oriented plan, responsibility, in economic dimension; The security situation and job stability of the villagers, the development of tourism in the system, are the factors affecting the future of sustainable development of Shahrbabak system.