Economic and Welfare Impacts of Oil Revenue Investment in Agricultural Sector: Application of a Recursive Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

the effects of oil revenue storage in the NDF and investment from the fund's revenue in various economic sectors were evaluated to achieve the objectives of the Fifth Development Plan Law. the R DCGE model approach was used, Changes in production index, consumption and prices in agriculture and food industry and changes in macroeconomic variables such as GDP, consumer price and household welfare in the form of 5 different scenarios of oil revenues storage to the NDF and lack of investment Or investments in different economic sectors were evaluated using the social accounting matrix of 1390. improving the productivity of the agricultural through oil revenue investment is not able to improve the production situation of this sector and the food industry. The results showed that by storing 20% of oil revenues in the NDF in accordance with the law of the Fifth Development Plan and then investing 30% of the fund's revenue sources in the various sector and in proportion to the equal can achieve favorable economic growth, improve food security and increase household welfare

Language:
Persian
Published:
Agricultural Economics, Volume:17 Issue: 2, 2023
Pages:
27 to 56
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