Identifying the security-police consequences of climate change in Fars province: a qualitative study

Climate change, as one of the biggest challenges facing humanity, has affected natural and human systems in complex ways and has increased public and organizational concerns about the possible consequences of climate change. The police organization, as a large and public order organization in the national scope, can be affected by this phenomenon. The research method in this study is qualitative and the grounded theory method is used. Using the purposeful and theoretical sampling , 27 military commanders and environmental experts in Fars province were selected as a sample. The results of grounded theory are in four core models. After examining each of the nuclear categories and their connecting elements, the phenomenon of "climate change and crime production in Fars" was extracted as the focal phenomenon of the research. What is obtained from the findings of the research is that climate change, as one of the variables of the transformation of the geographical space of Fars, was first of all a platform for the production of crime and with a deep impact on the quantity and quality of the province's water resources, it has deepened these spatial effects. This issue has caused negative phenomena in the geography of the province, especially the depopulation of rural areas and the agricultural sector on the one hand, and social and security challenges in the urban outskirts.