Factors Affecting on Oranges Export in Iran

The main objective of this study was to recognize the factors affecting orange export. Regarding the relation ship between among import, domestic supply and demand, a model including cropping area, yield, domestic demand, and export functions using data set over 1359-83 (1980-2004) was estimated. Based on simultaneous test, equations were found simultaneous. The results showed that an increasing domestic production will resut in raise export. Whereas the world-domestic price ratio revealed no considerable effect on export. It was also demonstrated that imposed war has influenced the export negatively. In the case of domestic demand for oranges, pre capita income and price of substitutes were found statistically significant, with positive effect on oranges price. However, the impact of the concerned variables including capital formation in farm sector, expected price and technology on domestic supply were assessed unimportant.