نشریه چشم انداز شهرهای آینده
سال چهارم شماره 2 (پیاپی 14، تابستان 1402)

The excessive consumption of natural resources, the growing trend of environmental pollution and efforts to improve the quality of life in different dimensions have led to providing new solutions to solve the challenges of future cities. In this direction, the creation of smart cities has attracted the attention of academics and urban planners, mainly in the framework of urban development policies. Therefore, the main goal of current article is to introduce the scenarios resulting from the smartening process with an emphasis on the city of Qazvin. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of data collection and analysis method. In order to collect information in the field of theoretical foundations, the documentary method was used, and the field method was used to collect data in order to analyze and answer the main research question. According to the findings of this research, 16 drivers were identified using the Delphi method; And after examining the extent and how these drivers affect each other, four key uncertainties of Qazvin city's smartening were identified. Considering the different states of four key uncertainties of sustainable management, new technologies, development of social innovation, international economy; And by using the CIB method through the Scenario Wizard software, three alternative scenarios were obtained for the future of Qazvin city in the direction of smartening that first scenario is the desirable scenario of smartening Qazvin city. According to the research results in Qazvin smart city policy making, In order to succeed as much as possible in the field of smartening Qazvin city, international technology-based companies (NTBFs) should be considered; Because we can find the actuality of the four uncertainties of sustainable management, new technologies, development of social innovation, and international economy in these companies.

The tourism industry is one of the most important economic activities that plays an important role in the development of cities and has grown significantly in recent years. This industry is sensitive to weather changes and any change in weather affects the quantity and quality of this industry. Isfahan is considered one of the important tourist destinations and has always been threatened by weather hazards; Therefore, the present study was conducted with the aim of investigating the impact of weather hazards on the number of Iranian tourists in Isfahan city. In this regard, from the total precipitation data, the absolute minimum temperature, the absolute maximum temperature, the maximum 24-hour precipitation, the number of days with dust, the number of days with frost, the air quality index and the statistics of the number of tourists in Isfahan city during the statistical period of 2008-2019 in the scale Used monthly. First, using linear regression and Pearson's correlation, the relationship between the studied hazards and the number of tourists was investigated. In the following, their relationship was done with one-month, two-month and one-year delays. The results of the conducted studies indicate that dust, extreme heat, drought and air quality index in hot months and extreme cold, heavy rain and dust in cold months have an effect on the number of tourists. On an annual scale, Farin colds, Farin heats and freezing days have affected the number of tourists in almost all the studied years. The study of the studied time series also indicates the effect of freezing days, freezing temperatures, freezing temperatures, dust and air quality index on the number of tourists.

During the last three decades, knowledge, creativity and information have had the greatest impact on the development of cities. In such a way that knowledge-based development strategies play an important role in supporting the local economic, social and cultural development of cities. On this basis, cities has adopt different strategies to attract and retain industries and knowledge workers. The purpose of the current research is conceptual model compilation of the development and realization of the knowledge-based city in order to use it for planning and optimize the future cities of the country. The current research is fundamental and exploratory in terms of purpose. The ruling paradigm of this research is interpretivism. The research approach is qualitative and its methodology is sample mining. Documentary and library studies have been used to collect data. The statistical community includes researches that have been conducted from 2005 to 2023 in the area of knowledge-based city. The systematic literature review method was used for data analysis, which has five steps consisting of definition, search, selection, analysis and synthesis. According to the results, more than 60% of the research sources were related to the last 10 years (2013-2023). The share of articles, books, and dissertations among his scholarly sources is 83%, 10%, and 7%, respectively. The results of open coding show that there are 96 codes for the development and realization of knowledge-based city. These codes have been classified in nine concepts (political-legal factors, strategic planning, approach, drivers of knowledge-based development, functional indicators, scientific base, dimensions, geographical-physical background and policy and strategic sets) and six core codes (causal conditions, contextual conditions, central category, intervening (mediating) conditions, consequences and strategies). As a result, the theoretical model of knowledge-based urban development depends on the existence of causal, contextual, intervening conditions, central categories, consequences and strategies.

Due to the extensive spatial changes caused by the increase in population and the flood of migration to the cities and especially the metropolises, the demand for land and consequently the constructions related to housing intensified. In between, stock market, rent and speculation; The land and housing market has faced many problems and personal interests have been preferred over public interests. In this regard, the aim of this research is to analyze and identify the key factors influencing the control of the land and housing market in the new city of Parand (Tehran metropolis) with a forward-looking approach. The type of research is applied in terms of purpose and its nature is descriptive-analytical. Sampling was purposeful and 30 specialists and city managers were selected to rate the indicators. MAXQDA software was used to extract indicators (in the form of qualitative analysis) and MICMAC software was used for quantitative data analysis. The results of the research showed that economic and managerial-institutional dimensions were the most influential and environmental-social and economic dimensions were the most influential control criteria in the land and urban housing market of Parand. Also, among the 40 investigated factors, 15 factors were selected as key factors affecting the control of the land and housing market in New Parand city. In this regard, the five factors of tax on profit from sale, tax on the right of quality, tax on frequent transfers of land and housing, tax on empty and unused houses, and the laws of expropriation of land and its storage, respectively, with a numerical value of "351, 347" , 326, 304 and 296" directly; and five factors of tax on profits from sales, change of lifestyle, tax on frequent transfers of land and housing, income status and rules for expropriation of land and its storage, respectively, with numerical values of "349, 341, 325, 310 and 297" They will indirectly influence the control of the land and housing market in the new city of Parand.

Today, cities are facing complex and interconnected challenges such as the increasing growth of urbanization and urban population, Imbalance in the age pyramid, lack of housing, inadequacy of urban infrastructure and services, environmental problems and polarization of economic growth. One of the new concepts to deal with the current challenges of cities in the field of urban planning is the development of a smart city which integrates physical and virtual capabilities together. The current research with a descriptive-analytical approach aims to determine the status of the eight regions of Kermanshah city in terms of benefiting from the dimensions and indicators of a smart city based on 5 dimensions of smart dynamics, smart people, smart life, smart environment and smart governance. Each of these dimensions also includes 6 items. From the total statistical population of the research, 384 people were considered as the sample size, separated by regions, and to analyze the findings, T-test, Anova, Tuky HSD post hoc test, and to draw maps of the spatial distribution of dimensions GIS has been used for indicators at the level of regions. The general results of the research indicate the relatively favorable situation of Kermanshah city in terms of benefiting from the dimensions and indicators of the smart city; But region 1, in terms of the total dimensions examined, with the first rank and the appropriate desirability status, is more compatible with the indicators of the smart city. in return, regions 2 and 5 in the last ranks and low - unfavorability status are far from smart city indicators; Therefore, in a prioritization, they are introduced as deprived areas in terms of smart city indicators and dimensions for development.

Urban management in the current decade is associated with many political, social, economic, environmental, legislative and technological complications and challenges. The smart city concept as a new framework for urban management can help reduce many challenges and problems of urban management. In the process of developing a smart city, the intertwined relationships between the influencing elements are greatly intensified. Therefore, to evaluate and measure the changes in these factors and their potential secondary effects on each other, the use of advanced dynamic systems is mandatory. To realize the development of a smart city, it is necessary to use futuristic tools to create justified and desirable futures with the participation of all key stakeholders. In this research, to identify and prioritize the drivers of smart city management in the framework of strategic foresight, the combination of Meta-Synthesis and Edas methods have been used. Methodologically, a combination of different methods has been used to collect data and information. By using the literature review summarized by Meta-Synthesis method, the key factors of smart city management have been identified. Based on this, all the information and data obtained from the previous step have been collected in the treasury and subsequently, the frequency table of the factors affecting the management of the smart city has been identified. In the last step, the outputs of the Meta-Synthesis method were used for ranking and identifying key drivers by using the  Edas method. Finally, in this research, the researcher has presented a step-by-step process to identify the drivers of smart city development and has extracted 9 final drivers with the greatest impact on smart city management.