نشریه آینده پژوهی شهری
سال سوم شماره 2 (تابستان 1402)

Forecasts for the next 40 years predict an increase in the elderly population more than other age groups. Thus, the number of people aged 60 and over as a proportion of the world's population is projected to more than double, from 880 million in 2012 to 2 billion by 2050. The largest increase is projected in the 80-year-old class and above. The number of centenarians is growing even faster and is projected to increase tenfold, from approximately 343,000 in 2012 to 3.2 million by 2050. One of the groups that need further study in urban areas is the elderly group. In fact, moving towards urban adaptation for the elderly is a kind of movement towards urban sustainability. Accordingly, in this study, suitable spaces for the presence of the elderly with the approach of geriatric psychology using the AHP-Fuzzy model in the 8th district of Shiraz have been identified. Research method in this research in terms of results and consequences of research of a fundamental-strategic type and in terms of implementation process; Quantitatively and logically, reasoning is of the type of deductive research, and also in terms of time is part of cross-sectional research and in terms of purpose is analytical research. The statistical population includes the elderly of District 8, which is equal to 2477 people, and the sample size according to Cochran's formula is 285 people. The data used were collected using a questionnaire and connected to the fishnet network, and the AHP model was used for weighting, which had the highest weight in terms of physical environment and personal and social characteristics. After applying the obtained weight on the fuzzy maps, the layers were superimposed using the five fuzzy functions, which was selected as the final map according to the evaluation of the gamma function model to identify suitable places for the presence of the elderly.

Rapid urban expansion has always been one of the most important spatial-spatial phenomena It is considered in many countries of the world, including Iran and this issue has caused serious damage to the national, regional and urban space in Iran Islamshahr city is one of the areas around the metropolis of Tehran, which in recent decades due to the cheapness of land, housing, potential and regional position, has always been considered by immigrants and today, the phenomenon of urban creep in it has created many problems in various aspects Therefore, the present study with descriptive-analytical, applied and exploratory methods to the role of urban creep phenomenon in spatial-spatial developments of settlements in the metropolitan area of ​​Tehran (Case study: Islamshahr city and sphere of influence) The statistical population of the present study consists of all experts in the field of urban creep, with a sample size of 50 people In order to analyze the research findings, spss-excel and lisrer software were used to encode and analyze the data obtained from the questionnaires. The results of research on environmental - physical, economic - social and managerial factors have been the most important factors affecting urban creep in Islamshahr At the same time, urban creep has not affected the spatial development of Islamshahr city, but creep has affected the spatial development aspects of Islamshahr city.

Today, various approaches have been proposed in the field of urban management, of which good urban governance is one of the most prominent. Governance is an alternative to traditional management and governance methods. In this regard, the present article has tried to identify and cluster the obstacles affecting the realization of good urban governance in Tehran metropolis with the method of structural analysis. Theoretical data was prepared by document method and experimental data by survey method based on Delphi technique. The statistical population was 20 urban experts based on purposeful sampling. 50 factors in 8 dimensions of transparency, accountability, public participation, effectiveness, consensualism, legality, responsibility and justice have been processed by structural interaction analysis method in MICMAC software. The results of the research from the analysis of mutual effects indicate the dispersion of barriers in a complex and intermediate situation of effectiveness and effectiveness; The obstacle clustering system indicates the concentration of effective and dual obstacles (risk and goal obstacles). The factors of concealment and lack of transparency in the hidden and open decision-making of city managers, the low level of honesty of the officials, the lack of awareness of the citizens about the plans and decisions of the municipality, the lack of transparency in the policies of the municipality's income and expenses, the lack of coherence and Weakness of the legal order in the laws and regulations related to the control and guidance of urban development, lack of trust and ambiguity in the accountability of city officials, weakness of the municipality's performance in the process of planning, decision-making and action, fragmentation in management and decision-making within the municipality, non-implementation Regulatory rules and regulations, control by the relevant authorities, resistance to admit mistakes and management mistakes among city officials, lack of continuous participation of the municipality in solving urban problems, unequal treatment of illegal activities in the municipality, weakness in fulfilling promises. Given by the municipal officials, the lack or weakness of public supervision and sectoral approach and the lack of systemic approach to the city administration have the most direct impact on the non-realization of good governance in the metropolis of Tehran.

The main premise of the research is that increasing social distance between young people and socializing institutions leads to increasing social alienation. The purpose of the research is to investigate the factors affecting social alienation among the youth of Qazvin region, which was carried out in the form of a survey in 2021. The sample population includes the youth of the 2th region of Qazvin city, who were selected from the total population of 384 people by random sampling method and using the Lane table. The required information was collected using a questionnaire made by the researcher. The data of the questionnaires were also analyzed with the help of SPSS software. In general, the obtained results show that there is a significant relationship between the independent variables of social distance of the individual with socializing institutions, media, socio-economic base, age and gender with the degree of social alienation.

Urban services are considered as a tool of urban management and the main factor in the continuation of urban life, without which the citizens' lives will cease to function. Optimal and principled distribution of urban services in accordance with the wishes of the people is of great importance in the process of urban planning. In this research, it is tried to measure the level of citizens' satisfaction with the performance of urban management in the field of urban services in the two cities of Shiraz, so that with a proper understanding of the issue, basic strategies and solutions can be developed to improve and strengthen the performance of urban management in the field of services and increase It provided the satisfaction of the citizens of this region. The research method from the point of view of the practical purpose and from the aspect of the nature and method, due to the fact that it seeks to evaluate the level of satisfaction of citizens with the performance of urban management in the area of urban services in Region 2 of Shiraz Municipality, it is descriptive and in terms of time, it is a cross-sectional research type. come The statistical population of the research, based on the 2015 census, includes 178,116 citizens living in Region 2. The research sample is based on Cochran's formula, 384 people. The research collection tool is the questionnaire. The research collection tool is the questionnaire. The questions of the questionnaire are organized according to the objectives. After the necessary collection, the collected raw data was entered into the spss software and finally, based on the raw data entered into the software, the information from the questionnaires was obtained in two parts, descriptive and inferential. The results show that all three components of public services (with an average of 2.515), technical services (with an average of 2.385) and cultural services (with an average of 2.088) had a weak situation, and this means that the satisfaction of citizens towards They are weak. Examining the rank average of the Friedman test shows that the highest average rank was related to the index of the status of construction supervision, then the index of the status of public transportation and the index of the status of public green spaces. Also, the lowest rank was related to the index of the state of public health services and then the index of the state of people's participation.

Architectural stylistics as an approach, has various functions in the study of architectural history. One of its most important functions is as a classification method in the history of architecture. In recent researches, the necessity of achieving styles in the Iranian architecture evolution, by referring to the body of prominent buildings, has always been brought up. Therefore, these bodies and their architecture evaluating, will be the best way to know the styles. The topic of Iranian architectural stylistics has always been a part of challenging debates in scientific societies, due to the wide and varied definitions and functions of it, there is no clear consensus among researchers. The stylistics of the second Pahlavi period has always been very important; on the one hand in terms of looking at past architecture and on the other hand due to the arrival of modern architecture in this period, is a turning point in the history of iran architecture. Therefore, this article tries to extract the titles of architectural styles in the second Pahlavi period with using a qualitative method and interpretive-historical approach, along with extensive documentary and library studies, and then with a detailed examination of the prominent building's body; evaluate the characteristics of each style and classify them. The research results show that five styles; "Traditional architecture", "Western modern architecture", "Organic architecture", "Modernist Iranian architecture" and "High-tech architectures", are the styles in the period from 1332 to 1357 A.S, that each one, according to their own theories, displays historical or modern characteristics, in the body of each buildings with a different image.

Rapid urban expansion has always been one of the most important spatial-spatial phenomena It is considered in many countries of the world, including Iran and this issue has caused serious damage to the national, regional and urban space in Iran Islamshahr city is one of the areas around the metropolis of Tehran, which in recent decades due to the cheapness of land, housing, potential and regional position, has always been considered by immigrants and today, the phenomenon of urban creep in it has created many problems in various aspects Therefore, the present study with descriptive-analytical, applied and exploratory methods to the role of urban creep phenomenon in spatial-spatial developments of settlements in the metropolitan area of ​​Tehran (Case study: Islamshahr city and sphere of influence) The statistical population of the present study consists of all experts in the field of urban creep, with a sample size of 50 people In order to analyze the research findings, spss-excel and lisrer software were used to encode and analyze the data obtained from the questionnaires. The results of research on environmental - physical, economic - social and managerial factors have been the most important factors affecting urban creep in Islamshahr At the same time, urban creep has not affected the spatial development of Islamshahr city, but creep has affected the spatial development aspects of Islamshahr city.